The Cyclones and Cougars are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN. The Cougars will host the game at Fertitta Center in Houston, TX. The over/under for this game is set at 127.5 points, and Houston is favored by -9 vs. Iowa State in a Big 12 conference matchup.


The Pick: Houston Cougars -9

This game will be played at Fertitta Center at 9:00 ET on Monday, February 19th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-67 in favor of the Cougars.
  • Not only will Houston pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -9.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 127.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will Iowa State Make it Happen on the Road?

After their win over Texas Tech, Iowa State has now won four straight games and has an overall record of 20-5. On the road, the Cyclones are 5-4 this season, including a 2-1 mark in their last three road games.

So far this season, Iowa State has been the underdog in seven games, going 4-3 in those contests. As the underdog, the Cyclones have a road average scoring margin of +0.4 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Iowa State has an ATS record of 5-2 and an overall ATS mark of 17-7-1. On the road, the Cyclones are 5-4 vs. the spread, but they have gone 3-0 in their last three road games and 4-1 in their last five.

This season, the over/under record for Iowa State games is 14-11 and today’s line of 127.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (138.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 137 points and their OU record during this span is 1-2. So far, 22 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line of 127.5.

Coming off their recent game, the Iowa State offense tallied 82 points in a matchup against Texas Tech. Their field goal percentage for the game was 47.1%, and they made 6 threes. One area that the Iowa State offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 46th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 47%.

Coming into today’s game, the Iowa State defense is giving up an average of 62.5 points per contest. Against Texas Tech in their most recent game, the Iowa State defense gave up a total of 74 points while allowing Texas Tech to hit 47% of their shots.

Can Houston Lock in a Home Win?

Coming into tonight’s game, Houston has a 15-game win streak at home and has gone 10-0 in their last 10 games at home. On the season, they have gone 15-0 at home, and their average scoring margin at home is +29.3 points per game.

Overall, the Cougars have gone 22-3 this season, and they are currently on a three-game win streak. In their last game, they defeated Texas by a score of 82-61.

When looking at Houston’s ATS record this season, they are currently 12-11-1. At home, the Cougars have gone 10-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Houston is 4-5-1 vs. the spread.

The over/under record for Houston games this season is 10-14 and today’s line of 127.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (133). So far, 11 of their games have finished with less than 127.5 points including two of their last three.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Houston’s offense scored 82 points against Texas. Their field goal percentage for the game was 46.8%, and they went 16/26 from the free-throw line. Offensively, the Cougars hold a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, placing them 290th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 161st in terms of percentage and 177th in three-pointers made.

So far this season, the Houston defense has been performing well, ranking 1st in the country at 55.0 points allowed per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.9 threes per game vs. Iowa State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 28.8%.