Last Updated: 2019-03-14
The Big 12 Conference Tourney meeting between the Iowa State Cyclones (20-11, 9-9 Big 12) and the Baylor Bears (19-12, 10-8 Big 12) will take place at Sprint Center. Iowa State is a 3-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 144 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 12:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 14, 2019, and it can be seen on ESPN2.
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears Odds Preview
The last time the Cyclones played, they lost to the No. 8 Texas Tech Red Raiders, 80-73. They were unable to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. With 17 points on 3-for-11 shooting, Lindell Wigginton led Iowa State in scoring. Texas Tech had a turnover percentage of 11.3 (better than their season average of 16.4). Iowa State, meanwhile, had a free throw rate of 0.315 (above their season average of 0.215). The two teams combined to put up 153 points, which finished well over the projected point total of 137.
Although the Bears were defeated by the No. 13 Kansas Jayhawks in their last outing, 78-70, they were able to cover as 8.5-point underdogs. Jared Butler was the top scorer from either team with 31 points on 10-for-21 shooting. Kansas had a free throw rate of 0.339 (above their season average of 0.230). Baylor, on the other hand, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (36.7 vs. 32.4). Combined, the two clubs scored 148 points, which finished over the projected point total of 140.
Look for Baylor to dominate the offensive glass in this meeting. The Bears are among the nation’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking fourth in offensive rebounding percentage at 38.3 percent. Meanwhile, Iowa State ranks 255th in the country at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 70.2 percent.
Of Iowa State’s 31 games, 16 have finished under the projected point total, while 15 of Baylor’s 31 games have finished over the projected point total. Both teams have solid straight up (SU) records (20-11 for Iowa State; 19-12 for Baylor), but the Bears hold a slight edge against the spread (ATS). Baylor is 17-12-2 ATS, while the Cyclones are 16-15.
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears Free Prediction
Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Baylor, ATS Winner – Baylor, O/U – Over
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The Cyclones average 15.5 assists per game, which ranks 36th in the NCAA. The Bears rank 125th in assists allowed per game (12.8).
Iowa State ranks 22nd in steals allowed per game (5.0) while Baylor ranks 91st (5.9).
Iowa State ranks 26th in blocks allowed per game (2.5) while Baylor ranks 186th (4.2).
The Bears rank 40th in rebounds per game (38.2) while the Cyclones rank 168th (35.1).
Baylor averages 23.3 three pointers per game, which ranks 118th in the country. Iowa State ranks 212th in three pointers allowed per game (23.6).
Baylor is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Across its last five outings, Iowa State is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Bears have been outscored by an average of 1.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Baylor has defeated opponents by an average of 5.2 points.
During their last five games, the Cyclones have scored an average of 73.4 points per game (4.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 78.4 points per game (9.6 above their season average).