The Iowa State Cyclones (-4) will clash with the Kansas State Wildcats at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. This pivotal Big 12 showdown starts at 7:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to FS1.
Iowa State at Kansas State Betting Odds 11/30/2019
Iowa State is favored by 4 points in this Big 12 game. The Cyclones are currently being given -185 moneyline odds while the Wildcats are +165. This Big 12 tilt will likely present multiple in-game betting opportunities. The over/under has been set at 50.5 points.
This opening line was initially 3 while the game’s O/U was originally set at 51.5, so the early action appears to be slanted to both the Cyclones and the under.
The Cyclones are 7-4 straight up (SU), including 5-3 SU against Big 12 opponents. The Wildcats are 7-4 SU overall and are also 4-4 SU in conference play. The Cyclones are down 2.9 units so far in 2019 and 6-5 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 6-5.
The Wildcats are down 4.1 units this season. They’re 8-3 ATS and have an O/U record of 4-7.
When these two squads met last year, Iowa State earned the win 42-38.
The Cyclones just got a 41-31 win over Kansas last week. Brock Purdy completed 29 passes for 372 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Breece Hall (97 rushing yards on 28 attempts, one TD) led the running attack. Deshaunte Jones (seven receptions, 74 yards) and Charlie Kolar (six catches, 100 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Kansas State just earned a 30-27 win over Texas Tech. The defensive unit let the Red Raiders pass for 368 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 144 yards. RJ Turner had a good showing in the loss, recording 141 yards on seven catches for Texas Tech. For Kansas State, Skylar Thompson completed 14-of-28 passes for 246 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. James Gilbert (61 rushing yards on 12 attempts) handled the running game while Chabastin Taylor (three receptions, 74 yards, one TD) and Phillip Brooks (two catches, 20 yards, one TD) led the receiving attack in the win.
Iowa State’s run the ball on 46.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Kansas State has a rush percentage of 62.5 percent. The Cyclones have produced 148 rush yards per game (including 136 per game against Big 12 opponents) and have 21 scores on the ground this year. The Wildcats are putting up 185 rushing yards per contest (150 in conference) and have 26 total rush TDs.
Based on the numbers so far, it appears that the Cyclones ought to own an edge in terms of RB efficiency, as their backfield has logged 4.5 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 3.7 to opponents. The Wildcats have ran for 4.4 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 5.1 to opponents.
The Cyclones have averaged 330 yards in the air overall (323 per game against conference opposition) and have 28 passing TDs so far. The Wildcats have recorded 197 pass yards per game (206.0 against Big 12 competition) and have 12 total pass scores.
On the defensive side of the ball, Iowa State has allowed 125 rush yards and 244 pass yards per game. Kansas State has allowed 161.5 rushing yards per game and 214.1 to opponents in the air. The Wildcats are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.77 to opponents, while the Cyclones have allowed a 6.42 ANY/A.
Purdy is already up to 3,221 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 250-of-367 attempts with 24 passing touchdowns and eight interceptions. Purdy has a pristine 8.63 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.29 over the last two games.
Breece Hall (682 rushing yards, eight rush TDs, 193 receiving yards, one receiving touchdown this season), Deshaunte Jones (678 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and La’Michael Pettway (500 receiving yards, six TDs) have all played big roles lately.
Skylar Thompson has put up 1,835 yards, 11 TDs and two INTs for Kansas State. His ANY/A stands at 7.55 for the season and 6.30 across his past two games.
We expect the Wildcats to dictate the game’s pace by putting the ball in the hands of their running backs. Along with WR Dalton Schoen (484 receiving yards, three receiving TDs this season), James Gilbert (619 rush yards, five rush TDs) and Jordon Brown (253 rush yards, three rush TDs, 106 receiving yards) have been significant factors in the Kansas State offense.
Iowa State Cyclones at Kansas State Wildcats NCAA Pick
SU Winner – Iowa State, ATS Winner – Iowa State, O/U – Over
Team Betting Notes
The Cyclones offense has tallied 10 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Wildcats have put up five such plays.
The Iowa State defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Kansas State has given up four such plays.
The Iowa State offense has created 12 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Kansas State has created 15 such runs.
The Cyclones defense has allowed 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Wildcats have given up 16 such runs.
The Iowa State defense has 25 sacks on the year while Kansas State has 20.
As a team, Iowa State has rushed for 4.1 yards per attempt over its last three outings and 3.5 over its last two.
Kansas State has averaged 3.0 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.3 over its last two.
In its last three contests, Kansas State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Iowa State’s previous game was set at 58.5. The over cashed in the team’s 41-31 triumph over Kansas.
In its last three games, Iowa State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Kansas State’s previous game going into it was 55.5. The over cashed in the 30-27 win over Texas Tech.