Looking to win big? The Hawkeyes and Wildcats face off at 5:30 ET on BTN. The Wildcats are hosting the game at Welsh-Ryan Arena in Evanston, IL. The over/under for this Big Ten conference contest is set at 152 points, with Northwestern being favored by -3.5 at home against Iowa.


The Pick: Northwestern Wildcats -3.5

This game will be played at Welsh-Ryan Arena at 5:30 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Wildcats.
  • Not only will Northwestern pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will Iowa Pull Through as the Underdog Road Team?

As an underdog this season, Iowa is 3-9, and they enter this game as a 3.5-point underdog. They have gone 17-12 overall and 9-9 in the Big Ten. On the road, they have gone just 3-8 compared to 14-4 at home.

Following their 90-81 win over Penn State, the Hawkeyes have gone 1-2 in their last three road games, and they are 3-7 in their previous ten road games. For the season, they have a scoring differential of -6.8 points per game on the road.

As the underdog this season, Iowa’s ATS record is just 4-8. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Hawkeyes are just 3-7 vs. the spread. On the road this season, Iowa’s ATS mark is 4-7 and their last three road games vs. the spread is 1-2.

Today’s over/under line of 152 is lower than the average over/under line in Iowa’s games this season (159.9), and their over/under record is 19-10. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 166 points, and their OU record over their last three games is 2-1.

In their latest game, Iowa offense put up 90 points against Penn State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 47.2% and made 8 threes. Payton Sandfort was the leading scorer for the Hawkeyes, putting up 26 points. In addition, Josh Dix contributed 20 points.

At present, the Hawkeyes’ defense is nationally ranked 311st, allowing 78.8 points per game. Iowa’s three-point defense is currently 194th in the country at 7.8 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.6% of their shots vs. Iowa.

Will the Wildcats Live Up to Expectations at Home?

The Northwestern Wildcats enter this contest with a 20-8 overall record and a three-game win streak. They are 11-6 in Big Ten play and 9-2 in non-conference games. At home, the Wildcats are 16-1 this season and have won nine straight games.

As the favorite, Northwestern is 15-2 this season and has been the favorite in 17 of their 28 games. They are 4-7 on the road compared to their 16-1 record at home.

As the favorite this season, Northwestern has gone 8-7-2 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 10-6-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wildcats are 5-4-1 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Northwestern games is 17-11, and today’s line of 152 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (137). So far, 22 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 138 points, which is higher than the season-long average of 143.2 points per game. During their last 10 games, the over/under record is 6-4.

Coming off their recent game, the Northwestern offense tallied 68 points in a matchup against Maryland. Their field goal percentage for the game was 46.3%, and they made 2 threes. Nick Martinelli was the leading scorer for the Wildcats, putting up 27 points. In addition, Brooks Barnhizer contributed 14 points.

Currently, the Wildcats’ defense holds the 89th rank in the nation, allowing 69.0 points per game. In today’s game vs. Iowa, the Northwestern defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Northwestern made 17 free-throws vs. the Wildcats.