Betting on today’s Hawkeyes and Fighting Illini game? Catch the action at State Farm Center in Champaign, IL, as the Fighting Illini hosts this showdown at 2:15 ET on BTN. This Big Ten conference matchup has an over/under of 166.5 points, and Illinois is favored to win by -9.5 at home vs. Iowa.


The Pick: Iowa Hawkeyes +9.5

This game will be played at State Farm Center at 2:15 ET on Saturday, February 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Fighting Illini.
  • Even though we have Illinois winning straight-up, we like Iowa at +9.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 166.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the Hawkeyes Defense Show Up on the Road?

So far this season, Iowa has been much better at home than on the road. At home, the Hawkeyes have gone 12-4, compared to just 3-7 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +13.0, while on the road it is -6.5.

As an underdog, Iowa is 3-8 this season. For the year, they have gone 16-11 overall, and they are coming off a 78-71 win over Michigan State. Over their last 10 road games, the Hawkeyes have gone 3-7.

As the underdog this season, Iowa’s ATS record is 4-7 and their overall ATS mark is 10-16. On the road, the Hawkeyes are 4-6 vs. the spread and they have gone 1-2 ATS in their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Iowa is just 3-7 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 166.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Iowa’s games this season (159.8). So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 155 points.

The Iowa offense is coming off a game in which they scored 78 points vs. Michigan State. Overall their field goal percentage was 50.9% while connecting on 4 threes. Payton Sandfort led the scoring for the Hawkeyes, contributing 22 points. Additionally, Ben Krikke chipped in with 18 points.

The Hawkeyes’ defense is presently ranked 301st nationally, allowing an average of 78.1 points per contest. Against Michigan State in their most recent game, the Iowa defense gave up a total of 71 points while allowing Michigan State to hit 45% of their shots.

Will Illinois Live Up to Expectations at Home?

Illinois has been dominant at home this season, going 14-2 with an average scoring margin of +16.3 points per game. The Fighting Illini have won four straight games at home, and they are 17-4 when favored this season.

Over their last 10 games at home, Illinois has gone 9-1. In their most recent game, they lost to Penn State by a score of 90-89.

As the favorite this season, Illinois has gone 10-10-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Fighting Illini have a 5-5 ATS mark. At home, their ATS record is 7-8-1 this year, including a 5-4-1 mark in their last 10 home games.

Illinois’ over/under record this season is 18-8 and the average point total in their games is 154.8. The average over/under line in their games is 147.5 and the average margin between the actual point total and the over/under line is 7.3. Today’s over/under line of 166.5 is higher than the average point total in their games. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 169 points and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 9-1.

In their recent matchup, the Illinois offense ended with 89 points against Penn State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 47.7% and made 9 threes. Terrence Shannon Jr. is leading the team in scoring at 22.1 points per contest. Marcus Domask has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 15.5 going into the game.

At present, the Fighting Illini’s defense is nationally ranked 160th, allowing 71.5 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Illinois’ defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.0% this season.