Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Pick
- Updated: November 7, 2012
Date/Time: November 8th, 8:20 P.M. ET
Television: NFL Network
NFL Odds from BetDSI
Point Spread: Indianapolis -3
NFL Betting Game Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indianapolis’s last 12 games
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indianapolis’s last 11 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
- Indianapolis is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing Jacksonville
- Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
- Indianapolis is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Jacksonville’s last 11 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
- Jacksonville is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Indianapolis
- Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
- Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
- Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
AFC South rivals meet up in the Sunshine State on Thursday Night Football betting action, where the Jacksonville Jaguars hope to upset the Indianapolis Colts.
The Colts are actually right on the verge of the postseason this year, and the way that the schedule pans out, there is a real chance that they could get in. QB Andrew Luck is going to put together arguably the most successful year that any rookie quarterback has ever had in spite of the fact that he gives himself a C for a grade. Luck has thrown for 2,404 yards and 10 TDs against eight picks. You’d like to see that TD/INT ratio be a bit higher, but after last week, Luck is now the holder for the most passing yards in a game by a rookie (433), the most 300-yard passing games by a rookie (4), and assuming that he stays healthy, he’ll own the records for the most passing yards by a rookie (on pace for just over 4,800 yards), most pass attempts by a rookie (on pace for 672), and most completions by a rookie (on pace for 380). Of course, the Colts aren’t nearly perfect to date, and that includes losing to these lowly Jaguars at home a few weeks ago. Still, they are playing well defensively, holding teams to just 20, 13, and 13 points over the course of the last three weeks, and when parlayed with Luck, that’s a great recipe for success.
Jacksonville has had a good history of playing against these Colts, but a lot of that success has come thanks to RB Maurice Jones-Drew. MJD feels like he has over 100 rushing yards every time out against Indy, and the first game of the year was no exception when he rumbled for 177 yards and a TD. However, Jones-Drew is out of the lineup still, and that turns the ball over to RB Rashad Jennings, who hasn’t proven that he is good enough to tote the rock 20-25 times in a game with the same level of efficiency that MJD did. The Jaguars have lost five games in a row since beating the Colts, and though they had looked stingy on the road prior to last week, their 31-14 loss to the Detroit Lions in Week 9 was a totally listless and lifeless effort.
There isn’t a more public team on the board in Week 10 than the Colts, and when you parlay in the fact that this one is in primetime and stands alone on the schedule, there is just no doubt whatsoever that Jacksonville is the sharper of the two plays to make. Jacksonville 17 – Indianapolis 14