Free NFL Pick: Indianapolis Colts vs. San Francisco 49ers
- Updated: September 21, 2013
Sunday, Sept. 22, 4:25 p.m. (ET)
NFL Betting Odds: VietBet
Pointspread: San Francisco -11.5
Total Line: 46
The Colts opened the new NFL season with a 21-17 win over Oakland but failed to cover as 11-point favorites at home. Last Sunday they came up short as one-point home favorites in a 24-20 loss to Miami to even their record at 1-1 straight-up. They will now have to go on the road as prohibitive underdogs in what should be a great test to see if Indianapolis is truly a playoff contender or a one hit wonder after last season’s 11-5 SU mark.
A big key to the Colts’ success last season was the play of rookie quarterback Andrew Luck, who was the first player chosen in the 2012 draft. In his first two games this season Luck has thrown for 499 yards and three touchdowns while completing a respectable 65.2 percent of his passes. TY Hilton and Reggie Wayne have combined for 22 receptions for 286 yards and one score. The big news out of Indianapolis this week was a trade with Cleveland for running back Trent Richardson, who was the third player taken in the draft in 2012. This brings a one-two punch to an offense that is currently ranked 15th in the NFL.
Most sportsbooks had San Francisco as the favorite to win the NFC this season after going all the way to last year’s Super Bowl, but Seattle put an early dent into those plans with a 29-3 beatdown last Sunday night. The 49ers closed as three-point road underdogs in the lopsided loss after beating Green Bay 34-28 on opening day as five-point favorites at home. After racking up 494 yards of total offense against the Packers, San Francisco was completely shutdown by the Seahawks with just 100 yards on the ground and 107 yards through the air.
This contest should be a good test to see how third-year quarterback Colin Kaepernick bounces-back from easily his worst performance as a pro. He completed less than half of his passes in Sunday’s loss and was picked-off three times including once in the end zone. Frank Gore ran the ball nine times for a total of 16 yards and the 49ers did not get on the board until the third quarter with a 21-yard field goal.
Free NFL Pick
Both teams obviously have something to prove in this game after suffering a disappointing loss in Week 2. The Colts are not that bad to be a double-digit underdog on the road and San Francisco is not that good to lay that many points at home. I cannot see the 49ers losing this game, but take Indianapolis and the 11.5 points as the free NFL pick in this matchup.
San Francisco 24 Indianapolis 16
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