Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans – Free Pick Week 17

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Sunday, 12/30/2018 at 08:25 pm INDIANAPOLIS (10-6) at TENNESSEE (9-7)
Expanded Matchup Game Center Bet Now Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
321INDIANAPOLIS 44 27.1 21.5 10-6 8-7-1 8-8-0 107.4 278.8 386.2 101.6 237.8 339.4
322TENNESSEE +3 19.4 18.9 9-7 8-8-0 8-8-0 126.4 185.9 312.3 116.4 216.9 333.3

Last Updated: 2018-12-30

To conclude the 2018 regular season, the Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) are set to face off against their AFC South foe Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium. NBC will broadcast the action and this critical Sunday Night showdown kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans Betting Odds

Indianapolis is giving up 2.5 points in this AFC game. The Colts are currently getting -140 moneyline odds while the Titans are +120. This AFC tilt could offer some in-game betting possibilities. The over/under is set at 44 points.

The game’s total has swung lower after originally being set at 45. The opening line of 2.5 has yet to change.

The Colts are 9-6 straight up (SU), including 3-2 SU against AFC South opponents. The Titans are 9-6 SU overall and also 3-2 SU against divisional foes. Each of these teams has rewarded gamblers this year as the Titans are up 5.8 units and the Colts have gained 3.5 units.

The Colts are coming off a 28-27 win over the Giants last week. Andrew Luck completed 31 passes for 357 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Marlon Mack (34 yards on 12 rush attempts, one TD) led the running attack. Chester Rogers (seven receptions, 54 yards, one TD) and T.Y. Hilton (seven catches, 138 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Tennessee is coming off of a 25-16 win over Washington in Week 16. As a group, the team collectively completed 17-of-25 passes for 211 yards and one touchdown. Marcus Mariota went 10-for-13 for 110 yards while Blaine Gabbert was seven-of-11 for 101 yards and one touchdown. Derrick Henry (84 yards on 21 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the running game while Darius Jennings (three receptions, 29 yards) and Taywan Taylor (three catches, 64 yards) led the receiving attack in the win.

Indianapolis has run the ball on 37.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tennessee has a rush percentage of 51.8 percent. The Colts have produced 104 rush yards per game (including 63 per game against South opponents) and have 12 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Titans are putting up 129 rush yards per contest (141 in conference) and have 15 total rushing TDs.

If 2018 numbers can translate to this game, then it’s looking like the Colts should have the advantage when it comes to quarterback protection. Their offensive line has given up only 56 sacks while the D-line registered 25 sacks. The Titans, on the other hand, have allowed 35 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs just 43 times.

The Colts have tallied 287 yards per contest in the air overall (338 per game versus conference opposition) and have 36 passing scores so far. The Titans have produced 206 pass yards per outing (193.4 against AFC competition) and have 15 total pass TDs.

Indianapolis has let opponents rush for an average of 102 yards and pass for 258 yards per game. Tennessee has allowed 113.7 rushing yards per game and 228.9 to opponents in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Colts have given up an ANY/A of 6.27 to opposing QBs, while the Titans are allowing an ANY/A of 5.79.

Luck is already up to 4,116 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 390-of-577 attempts with 36 passing touchdowns and 14 interceptions. Luck’s got a 6.87 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.20 over the last two games.

Marcus Mariota has produced 2,440 yards, 11 TDs and eight INTs for Tennessee. His ANY/A stands at 5.87 for the year and 4.86 over his last two games.

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans Free Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Titans, ATS Winner – Titans, O/U – Under


Team Betting Notes

Tennessee has lost five fumbles this season while Indianapolis has lost eight.

Each team defense has recorded 38 sacks this season.

Indianapolis has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its past three outings and 4.1 over its last two.

Tennessee has averaged 5.6 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.4 over its last two.

In its last three contests, Tennessee is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Indianapolis’ previous game was set at 48.5. The over cashed in the team’s 28-27 victory over the Giants.

In its last three matchups, Indianapolis is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Tennessee’s last match was set at 38. The over cashed in that 25-16 win over Washington.

Indianapolis has won nine of its last 10 games SU, with a December 2nd defeat to Jacksonville accounting for the only loss over that span.

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