Looking to win big? The Sycamores and Salukis face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Salukis are hosting the game at Banterra Center in Carbondale, IL. Indiana State is favored by -4.5 in this Missouri Valley conference matchup the against Southern Illinois. The over/under for the game is set at 149.5 points.


The Pick: Southern Illinois Salukis +4.5

This game will be played at Banterra Center at 7:00 ET on Saturday, February 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Salukis.
  • Not only will Southern Illinois pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Taking a Look at the Sycamores Chances on the Road

Despite a loss in their last game, Indiana State has been dominant on the road this season. They have won four straight games away from home and have an average scoring margin of +3.5 points per game on the road. Overall, they are 10-3 on the road, compared to 11-1 at home.

For the season, the Sycamores are 22-4, including a 13-2 record in Missouri Valley Conference play. They have been favored in 21 of their 26 games, going 20-1 in those contests. As the favorite, Indiana State has an average scoring margin of +21.2 points per game.

Indiana State’s ATS record this season is 15-10, including a mark of 6-7 on the road. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Sycamores have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is below the average over/under line of 155.8 in Indiana State’s games this season. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 150 points compared to their season average of 157.4 points per game. So far this year, their over/under record is 15-10.

The Indiana State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 67 points vs. Illinois State. Overall their field goal percentage was 36.4% while connecting on 8 threes. The Indiana State offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 29.4 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 38% of their looks from outside this season.

Currently, the Sycamores’ defense holds the 176th rank in the nation, allowing 72.2 points per game. So far, the Indiana State defense is giving up an average of 7.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.5 times per game (555th).

Will the Salukis Make it Happen at Home?

After losing their last game to Belmont by a score of 82-68, Southern Illinois has a record of 16-10 on the season. They are 8-7 in Missouri Valley Conference play and 8-3 in non-conference games.

At home this season, the Salukis have gone 10-5, and their average scoring margin is +8.5 points per game. Over their last 10 home games, they have gone 6-4.

As the underdog, Southern Illinois has gone 6-4 vs. the spread this season. Their home ATS record is 9-6, but they have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and 0-3 ATS in their last three home contests. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Salukis are 6-4 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Southern Illinois games is 16-9, and today’s line of 149.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (136.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 155 points, and the over/under record for their last three games is 3-0.

In their most recent game, the Salukis’ offense tallied 68 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 72.9 points per game. Xavier Johnson was the leading scorer for the Salukis, putting up 17 points. In addition, Trent Brown contributed 15 points.

At present, the Salukis’ defense is nationally ranked 59th, allowing 67.0 points per game. Southern Illinois’ three-point defense is currently 11th in the country at 4.7 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.4% of their shots vs. Southern Illinois.