Looking to win big? The Sycamores and Aces face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Aces are hosting the game at Ford Center in Evansville, IN. Indiana State is favored by -9.5 in this Missouri Valley conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 156.5 points.


The Pick: Evansville Aces +9.5

This game will be played at Ford Center at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, February 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Aces.
  • Not only will Evansville pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +9.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 156.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can the Sycamores Pull Off a Road Win?

Indiana State comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been in 24 of their 29 games this season. They have gone 22-2 in those games, and they are currently riding a two-game winning streak.

On the road this season, the Sycamores have gone 11-4, and they have a scoring margin of +3.9. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 7-3, and they have gone 4-1 over their last five.

As the favorite this season, Indiana State has gone 15-8-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Sycamores have gone 4-5-1 ATS. On the road this year, Indiana State is 7-8 vs. the spread and their road ATS mark over their last 10 games is 4-6.

Indiana State’s over/under record for the season is 16-12 and their games have averaged 156.6 points. Today’s over/under line is 156.5. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line and over their last three games, the average scoring total is 150 points.

In their previous game, the Sycamores’ offense finished with 88 points, which is right in line with their current average of 84.4 points per contest. Robbie Avila was the leading scorer for the Sycamores, putting up 22 points. In addition, Ryan Conwell contributed 18 points.

On defense, Indiana State is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 72.0 points per game. The Indiana State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 73 points and allowed UIC to connect on 8 threes.

Will Evansville Make it Happen at Home?

Evansville has struggled recently, losing five straight games, and they enter this matchup as a 9.5-point underdog. So far this season, the Aces are 15-14 overall and 6-12 in Missouri Valley Conference action. They have gone 9-4 at home, and they are coming off a 65-53 loss to Southern Illinois.

Over their last 10 games at home, the Aces have gone 6-4, and they are 3-2 in their last five games at home. For the season, their average scoring margin at home is +4.0 points per game, and they have gone 9-13 as the underdog.

As the underdog, Evansville has a solid 14-8 record vs. the spread this season. At home, the Aces are 8-5 vs. the spread this year and they have gone 4-1 in their last five home games vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Evansville has gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

Evansville’s over/under record this season is 12-16 and today’s line of 156.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (144.8). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 149 points and their OU record during this span is 2-1.

In their latest game, Evansville offense put up 53 points against Southern Illinois. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 37.5% and made 2 threes. Ben Humrichous is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 15.6. Meanwhile, Yacine Toumi also brings a PPG average of 11.1 into the game.

At this time, the Aces’ defense is positioned 207th in the country, permitting 73.4 points per game. Against Southern Illinois in their most recent game, the Evansville defense gave up a total of 65 points while allowing Southern Illinois to hit 37% of their shots.