The Sycamores and Bruins are set to face off at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. The Bruins will host the game at Curb Event Center in Nashville, TN. In this Missouri Valley matchup, Indiana State is favored by -8.5 vs. Belmont. The over/under for the game is 162.5 points.


The Pick: Belmont Bruins +8.5

This game will be played at Curb Event Center at 7:30 ET on Wednesday, January 31st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Bruins.
  • Not only will Belmont pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 162.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can the Sycamores Grab a Win on the Road?

Indiana State has been dominant at home this season, going 8-0 and winning by an average of 26.2 points per game. However, they’ve also been strong on the road, going 8-3 and winning their last two games away from home.

Overall, the Sycamores have won four straight games and are 18-3 on the season. Their record in the Missouri Valley Conference is 8-1, and they have yet to lose a game as the favorite this season, going 15-0.

Indiana State has an overall ATS record of 12-7 this season. On the road, they have gone 6-5 vs. the spread. As the favorite, the Sycamores have an ATS mark of 11-4 this year. In their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 7-3 vs. the spread.

Indiana State’s over/under record this season is 12-7, and today’s over/under line of 162.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (156.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 162 points, and their OU record over their last three games is 2-1. So far, 14 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line.

Indiana State’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. UIC, finishing the game with a total of 89 points. Their season average is now 86.3 points per game. One area that the Indiana State offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 129th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 51%.

At present, the Sycamores’ defense is nationally ranked 188th, allowing 72.7 points per game. In their previous game vs. UIC, the Flames finished with a field goal percentage of 47% and a total of 83 points vs. Indiana State.

Is a Home Win Possible for the Bruins?

Belmont has been significantly better at home this season, going 7-1 compared to 4-8 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +5.4, compared to -8.2 on the road. As an underdog this season, the Bruins have gone 4-8.

Belmont is coming off a 74-65 win over UIC, and they have gone 8-2 in their last ten games at home. On the year, they are 12-9, including a 5-5 record in Missouri Valley Conference games.

As the underdog this season, Belmont has an ATS record of 4-8. At home, their ATS mark is 3-5 and their last 10 ATS mark as the underdog is 4-6. Their ATS record for their last 3 home games is 2-1 and their ATS mark for their last 5 home games is 3-2.

This season, the over/under record in Belmont games is 9-11 and the average scoring total in their games is 155.4 points. Today’s over/under line of 162.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (154.6). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 150 points.

The Belmont offense is coming off a game in which they scored 74 points vs. UIC. Overall their field goal percentage was 39% while connecting on 9 threes. Malik Dia is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 17.3 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Cade Tyson brings a PPG average of 16.8 into the game.

The Bruins’ defense is presently ranked 286th nationally, allowing an average of 78.1 points per contest. Belmont will look once again to perform well on defense, holding UIC to just 39% shooting in their most recent game.