Last Updated: 2019-11-10
The Orlando Magic (3-6) will be at home in the Amway Center when they challenge the Indiana Pacers (5-4). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 203 points with Orlando set as a 3-point favorite. Action begins at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 10, 2019, and it can be seen on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana.
Indiana Pacers at Orlando Magic Free Preview
In the Pacers’ last outing, they were victorious over the Detroit Pistons, 112-106, resulting in a push. Domantas Sabonis led Indiana in scoring with 17 points on 6-for-14 shooting. Indiana played a flawless game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.265 (above their season average of 0.169) and a turnover percentage of 11.3 (better than their season average of 11.9). Detroit had marks of 0.174 and 13.8, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to put up 218 points, which came in over the O/U total of 209.
The Magic will look to maintain momentum after easily covering the 8-point spread against the Memphis Grizzlies in their last contest, 118-86. With 23 points on 9-for-16 shooting, Nikola Vucevic was the top scorer from either team. Orlando dominated every facet of the game. They had a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 27.3 (above their season average of 22.9) and a turnover percentage of 7.9 (better than their season average of 12.4). For those same stats, Memphis recorded marks of 8.2 and 16.4, respectively. Combined, the two teams scored 204 points, which finished under the projected point total of 208.
Orlando might struggle to score as they square off against one of the league’s best defenses. Since last season, Indiana ranks fourth in defensive efficiency while the Magic rank 20th in offensive efficiency.
Both of these teams have typically finished under the projected point total. Games featuring Indiana have finished under 55.6 percent of the time, while Orlando games have gone under 77.8 percent of the time. The Pacers have the superior straight up (SU) record (5-4 vs. 3-6), but both teams have comparable against the spread (ATS) records. Indiana is 3-4-2 ATS, while Orlando is 3-5-1 ATS.
The Magic won three out of four games against the Pacers last season. In the last game, Orlando won 121-116. The Magic played a nearly flawless game. They had a phenomenally low turnover percentage of 6.7 and a free throw rate of 0.130. For those same stats, the Pacers recorded marks of 13.3 and 0.122, respectively.
Indiana Pacers at Orlando Magic Free Prediction
Pick: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under
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Betting Notes (2018-Present):
The Magic rank 13th in three pointers attempted per game (32.1) while the Pacers rank last (25.5).
Indiana ranks second in steals allowed per game (7.2) while Orlando ranks sixth (7.0).
Indiana ranks 15th in fast break points per game (14.5) while Orlando ranks 25th (10.9).
When holding opponents below 100 points, Indiana is 27-6 and Orlando is 22-5.
When reaching 100 points, the Pacers are 48-20 and the Magic are 40-20.
The Pacers rank second in blocks allowed per game (5.0) while the Magic rank ninth (4.4).
Indiana ranks third in points in the paint per game (48.7) while Orlando ranks 27th (43.7).
The Pacers rank second in points off turnovers per game (19.1) while the Magic rank 22nd (15.4).
The Magic rank fifth in assists allowed per game (23.0) while the Pacers rank ninth (24.2).
Indiana ranks fifth in second chance points per game (13.3) while Orlando ranks 24th (12.3).