Last Updated: 2019-12-04
The Oklahoma City Thunder (8-11) will be at home in Chesapeake Energy Arena when they clash against the Indiana Pacers (13-7). Indiana is a 1-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 212.5 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 4, 2019, and it can be seen on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana.
Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder Odds Preview
The Pacers defeated the Memphis Grizzlies in their last matchup, 117-104, covering as 9-point favorites. With 18 points, 14 rebounds and eight assists, Indiana’s Domantas Sabonis had a good performance. The Pacers, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.523, had a great mark of 0.591 and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (21.1 vs. 18.2). The two teams combined to put up 221 points, which finished over the projected point total of 217.
In the Thunder’s previous game, they edged the New Orleans Pelicans, 107-104, as 2.5-point underdogs. With 23 points on 8-for-14 shooting, Danilo Gallinari was Oklahoma City’s leading scorer. Oklahoma City played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.247 (above their season average of 0.228) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 11.6 (below their season average of 18.2). For those same stats, New Orleans was 0.103 and 6.7, respectively. Combined, the two squads scored 211 points, which came in well under the O/U total of 226.5.
These two clubs have already met once this season. The two teams combined to score 196 points in that game, which was well under the projected point total of 212. The Pacers won 111-85, covering as 2-point favorites. The Pacers dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.2 and an effective field goal percentage of 0.527. For those same stats, the Thunder had marks of 18.8 and 0.390, respectively. Sabonis put up a double-double in the victory with 18 points and 16 rebounds.
Of Indiana’s 20 games, 10 have finished over the projected point total, while 11 of Oklahoma City’s 19 games have finished under the projected point total. The Pacers have the superior straight up (SU) record (13-7 vs. 8-11), but the Thunder hold the substantial advantage against the spread (ATS) (11-7-1 vs. 10-8-2).
Half-court execution will be critical when a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams battle. Oklahoma City ranks 25th in possessions per game (101.1) and Indiana is 21st (102.2).
Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Over
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The Pacers average 5.3 blocks per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Thunder rank 18th in blocks allowed per game (4.9).
Indiana ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (22.4) while Oklahoma City ranks seventh (22.8).
Indiana averages 49.0 points in the paint per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. Oklahoma City ranks 15th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.5).
Oklahoma City is 6-3-1 ATS at home, while Indiana is 5-4 ATS on the road.
The total has gone under in 6 of the Thunder’s 10 home games, while 5 of the Pacers’ 9 road games have gone over.
Oklahoma City is 3-2 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Indiana is 4-1.
The Pacers are 13-4 when they score more than 100 points, while the Thunder are 8-6.
The Thunder rank 22nd in three pointers attempted per game (30.3) while the Pacers rank 28th (26.6).
Indiana ranks 12th in second chance points per game (13.3) while Oklahoma City ranks 29th (9.2).
The Pacers rank 15th in fast break points per game (12.9) while the Thunder rank last (9.1).
Indiana ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (42.5) while Oklahoma City ranks 20th (46.1).
Oklahoma City is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.
Over its last five outings, Indiana is 4-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
The Thunder’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.8, up from 0.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 117.0 points per game (7.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.6 points per game (4.0 above their season average).