Last Updated: 2018-01-03
The Indiana Pacers (19-18), 7.5-point underdogs, will be at BMO Harris Bradley Center to go head-to-head against the Milwaukee Bucks (19-16) in a Central Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 208.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 3, 2018.
Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds
Both teams fell in their last outing. The Bucks fell to the Toronto Raptors, 131-127, while the Pacers were defeated by the Minnesota Timberwolves, 107-90.
Indiana had an offensive rebounding percentage of 29.5 (above their season average of 21.7) while Milwaukee held Toronto to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.4 (below their season average of 23.1). Milwaukee was lifted by Giannis Antetokounmpo, who put up 26 points, nine rebounds and seven assists. Meanwhile, Joe Young fueled Indiana with 20 points and five rebounds.
The high-octane offense of Milwaukee (seventh in the league with an offensive efficiency of 108.6) will face off against the mid-tier defense of Indiana (23rd in the league with a defensive efficiency of 108.0). The Bucks should have the advantage on that end of the court.
Just over half of the Pacers’ games have finished under the O/U total. Indiana comes into the contest with records of 19-18 straight up (SU) and 20-17 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas has a tendency to place the total low when the Bucks are involved, as 22 of their 37 games have finished over the O/U total. Additionally, Milwaukee owns records of 19-16 SU and 16-14-5 ATS.
The Bucks edged out the Pacers in this series last year, winning three out of four games. In the most recent game, Indiana won 104-89. Indiana out-rebounded Milwaukee. The Pacers had 12 offensive rebounds and 44 total rebounds, while the Bucks had six and 32, respectively. This is the first time these teams will clash this year.
Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
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The Bucks rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.2) while the Pacers rank ninth (15.1).
Milwaukee ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.7) while Indiana ranks 22nd (5.3).
The Bucks rank first in fast break points allowed per game (7.3) while the Pacers rank 16th (11.1).
Indiana ranks 16th in second chance points per game (11.9) while Milwaukee ranks 27th (9.7).
Milwaukee averages 22.7 assists per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Indiana ranks 22nd in assists allowed per game (23.9).
The Bucks average 47.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Pacers rank 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (46.9).
The Pacers rank 20th in rebounds per game (42.0) while the Bucks rank last (38.8).
Milwaukee ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (6.8) while Indiana ranks sixth (6.9).
Milwaukee ranks ninth in three pointers allowed per game (26.9) while Indiana ranks 25th (30.9).
Milwaukee is 8-2 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Indiana is 9-1.
The Pacers are 17-7 when they reach 100 points, while the Bucks are 15-10.
Indiana is 10-7 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 7-8-3 ATS at home.
The total has gone over in 9 of the Pacers’ 17 road games, while 10 of the Bucks’ 18 home games have gone over.
The Bucks are 3-1-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Pacers are 0-5.
In their last five games, Milwaukee has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Indiana has 3 unders and 2 overs.
During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 107.6 points per game (2.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.6 points per game (3.7 above their season average).
The Pacers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.6, up from 0.1 for the season.