Indiana Pacers at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Odds Pick 12/02/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-12-02

The Memphis Grizzlies (6-13) look to end a five-game home losing streak when they go head-to-head with the Indiana Pacers (12-7) at FedExForum. Indiana opened as a 10-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 218.5 points. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET on Monday, December 2, 2019, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast.

Indiana Pacers at Memphis Grizzlies Free Preview

The Pacers lost a tough one against the Philadelphia 76ers in their last matchup, 119-116, but were able to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. Malcolm Brogdon put together a good game for Indiana, finishing with 28 points and six assists. Philadelphia forced the Pacers into a turnover percentage of 17.9 (above their season average of 11.9). Indiana, on the other hand, had an effective field goal percentage of 0.625 (above their season average of 0.519). The two teams combined to put up 235 points, which finished well over the O/U total of 206.5.

The last time the Grizzlies played, they covered the 7-point spread against the Minnesota Timberwolves, 115-107. Memphis rallied around Bruno Caboclo, who contributed 12 points and 13 rebounds. Memphis dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a solid turnover percentage of 9.1 (better than their season average of 13.9) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.490 (below their season average of 0.516). Minnesota was 13.7 and 0.453, respectively, for those same stats. The two squads collectively scored 222 points, which came in just under the projected point total of 223.5.

Memphis might struggle to score as they battle against one of the league’s best defenses. Indiana currently ranks sixth in defensive efficiency, while the Grizzlies rank 24th in offensive efficiency.

Of Indiana’s 19 games, 10 have finished under the projected point total, while 10 of Memphis’ 18 games have finished under the O/U total. The Pacers come into this game with considerably better straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 12-7 SU and 9-8-2 ATS, while the Grizzlies are 6-13 SU and 7-11 ATS.

These two teams have already met once this season. The two teams combined to score 240 points in that game, which was well over the projected point total of 216.5. The Pacers won 126-114, covering as 10-point favorites. Indiana had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (23.8 vs. 17.8). Memphis, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (7.3 vs. 11.7). Ja Morant recorded a double-double in the loss, with 19 points and 10 assists.

Indiana Pacers vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Pacers rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (31.7) while the Grizzlies rank 24th (35.5).

Indiana averages 49.9 points in the paint per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Memphis ranks 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (49.2).

Indiana averages 5.4 blocks per game, which is ranked ninth in the league. Memphis ranks 26th in blocks allowed per game (6.3).

Indiana averages 7.1 steals per game, which ranks 21st in the league. Memphis ranks 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.2).

Indiana is 4-4 ATS on the road with 4 overs and 4 unders.

At home, Memphis is 5-7 ATS with 7 unders and 5 overs.

Indiana is 4-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points.

The Pacers are 12-4 when they score above 100 points, while the Grizzlies are 6-9.

The Pacers rank fifth in assists allowed per game (22.3) while the Grizzlies rank 22nd (25.0).

Indiana ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.7) while Memphis ranks 29th (14.9).

The Pacers average 18.5 points off turnovers per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Grizzlies rank last in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.8).

The Pacers rank fifth in rebounds allowed per game (42.8) while the Grizzlies rank 16th (45.9).

Indiana ranks fifth in fast break points allowed per game (12.1) while Memphis ranks 26th (15.8).

Bettings Trends:

Memphis is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.

Over its last five outings, Indiana is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.

The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.2, down from 7.8 for the season.

During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 115.8 points per game (6.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.0 points per game (4.4 above their season average).

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