Indiana Pacers vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Odds Pick 03/21/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-03-21

The Indiana Pacers (44-28) look to end their seven-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Golden State Warriors (48-22) at ORACLE Arena. Golden State opened as an 11-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 220.5 points. Action starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 21, 2019, and it can be seen on NBC Sports – Bay Area.

Indiana Pacers vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

In the Pacers’ last game, they lost to the Los Angeles Clippers, 115-109. They were not able to cover as 5.5-point underdogs. Indiana’s Domantas Sabonis contributed 13 points, 16 rebounds and six assists in the game. Los Angeles did a great job of converting from the charity stripe (19-27; 70.4 percent). Indiana, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 27.5 (above their season average of 21.7). The two teams combined to score 224 points, which was over the projected point total of 220.

The Warriors hope to keep it rolling after covering the 6-point spread against the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game, 117-107. With 36 points on 12-for-21 shooting, Stephen Curry was the game’s leading scorer. Golden State launched 42 three pointers, making 19 of them (45.2 percent). Minnesota, on the other hand, was 9-36 (25.0 percent). The two clubs collectively scored 224 points, which came in under the O/U total of 229.

The game should be a battle of strength against strength as the high-powered offense of Golden State takes on the elite defense of Indiana. The Warriors rank first in offensive efficiency, while the Pacers are third in defensive efficiency.

Of Indiana’s 72 games, 43 have finished under the projected point total, while 37 of Golden State’s 70 games have finished under the projected point total. The Warriors have the better straight up (SU) record (48-22 vs. 44-28), but the Pacers hold the sizable advantage against the spread (ATS) (35-36-1 vs. 29-40-1).

These two clubs have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined to put up 232 points, just over the projected point total of 229. The Warriors won 132-100, covering as 7-point favorites. The Warriors played a perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.133 and a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 31.7. For those same stats, the Pacers put up marks of 0.085 and 22.2, respectively. In the victory, Curry led all scorers with 26 points.

Pacers at Warriors Free Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under


Betting Notes:

The Warriors average 19.3 fast break points per game, which ranks second in the league. The Pacers rank 18th in fast break points allowed per game (13.8).

Indiana ranks 18th in points in the paint per game (48.3) while Golden State ranks 26th (42.9).

Indiana ranks third in steals per game (8.9) while Golden State ranks 15th (7.6).

Indiana ranks fourth in rebounds allowed per game (43.3) while Golden State ranks ninth (44.2).

On the road, Indiana is 14-21-1 ATS with 18 overs and 18 unders.

Golden State is 12-21-1 ATS at home with 20 unders and 14 overs.

Indiana is 23-3 when they allow under 100 points, while Golden State is 7-0.

The Pacers are 39-15 when they reach 100 points, while the Warriors are 48-15.

The Warriors average 29.2 assists per game, which ranks first in the league. The Pacers rank 12th in assists allowed per game (24.2).

Golden State ranks eighth in three pointers attempted per game (34.5) while Indiana ranks 28th (25.5).

The Pacers rank third in points off turnovers per game (19.1) while the Warriors rank 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.4).

The Pacers rank 16th in second chance points per game (13.1) while the Warriors rank 21st in second chance points allowed per game (13.9).

Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (6.4) while Indiana ranks 18th (5.0).

Bettings Trends:

Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 5 unders in its last five games.

Across its last five games, Indiana is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.

The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.8, down from 5.9 for the season.

During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 103.6 points per game (4.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 105.4 points per game (1.3 above their season average).

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