The Pacers (+156) travel to Dallas (-190) to take on the Mavericks (-4.5) at American Airlines Center. The over/under line for this non-conference matchup is 246 points.

Indiana is currently 8th in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Central Division. They’ve lost two straight games. Dallas is 8th in the Western Conference and 2nd in the Southwest Division. They’ve also lost two straight games.


The Pick: Dallas Mavericks -4.5

This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 8:30 ET on Tuesday, March 5th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 120-115 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 9 rebounds and 9 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.7% and knocking down 18 threes.

Will the Pacers Come Through as Road Underdogs?

Indiana is looking to snap a two-game losing streak today against the Mavericks. In their most recent game, the Pacers lost to the Spurs by a score of 117-105. The O/U line for that game was 242 points.

For the season, Indiana has an ATS record of 32-28 and they are 15-14 ATS on the road. Today, they are 4.5-point underdogs and have an ATS record of 18-12 as the underdog.

The Pacers are 34-28 overall this season and are currently in 8th place in the Eastern Conference. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 25-15 and 10-2 against Central Division opponents.

On the road, the Pacers have an average scoring differential of -3.1 points per game. Their straight-up road record is 14-16, which is 16th in the NBA.

Indiana’s O/U record for the season is 33-29, and the under has hit in their last three games. Today’s O/U line is set at 246 points, which is just below their season average of 245.3 points per game.

Heading into their matchup with the Mavericks, the Pacers are the top-scoring team in the league at 123.3 points per game. So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 69.4% of their games this season.

Indiana’s offense has been especially potent on the road, where they are averaging 120.0 points per game. Overall, they have made 50% of their shots (1st) and are 2nd in pace at 101.6 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Pacers are 9th in the league at 37%. They are also 1st in two-point shooting at 58% and have made the most two-point field goals in the NBA.

The Pacers’ defense is presently ranked 28th in the league, allowing an average of 122.0 points per contest. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Pacers squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 57.0% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 37.7% from downtown.

Will the Mavericks Win at Home?

Dallas is 34-27 this season and are currently 8th in the Western Conference. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 21-18 and 8-5 against teams in the Southwest Division.

At home, the Mavericks are 14-18 straight-up and 18-14 against the spread. As the favorite, they have gone 25-10 and are favored by 4.5 points today. Against the spread, they are 21-14 as the favorite.

On the season, Dallas has an O/U record of 31-30 and their games have averaged 236.7 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 246, with 54 of their games having lower lines than that.

In their last game, the Mavericks lost to the 76ers by a score of 120-116. The O/U line for that game was 237.5, and Dallas was favored by 7.5 points going into the game.

The Mavericks are looking to snap a two-game losing streak against the spread. They are 32-29 ATS this season and have an average scoring differential of +3.8 points per game at home.

At home, the Mavericks are averaging 120.3 points per game, which is 8th in the NBA. Overall, they are 6th in the league with 118.7 points per game. Dallas has outscored the NBA scoring average in 59% of their games this season. In terms of pace, they are 12th in the league at 99.7 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Mavericks are 3rd in the NBA with 15 made threes per game. They are also 2nd in three-point attempts at 40 per game. However, Dallas is just 11th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%.

So far this season, the Mavericks are 13th in field goal percentage at 48%. In terms of two-point shooting, they are 7th in the league at 56%. When it comes to free throws, Dallas is 15th in the NBA with 17.5 made free throws per game.

On average, the Dallas defense is giving up 118.0 points per game (24th). Right now, they are on a 2 game streak of giving up fewer points than their season average. Inside the arc, the Mavericks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.8% and 36.9% from three-point territory.