Planning on watching today’s Hoosiers and Boilermakers game? Catch the action at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, IN, as the Boilermakers hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on FOX. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 148.5 points, and Purdue is favored by -17 to win at home against Indiana.


The Pick: Indiana Hoosiers +17

This game will be played at Mackey Arena at 8:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Boilermakers.
  • Even though we have Purdue winning straight-up, we like Indiana at +17.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will the Hoosiers Defense Show Up in West Lafayette?

Indiana has been much better at home this season, going 11-4 compared to 3-5 on the road. They have also been better as the favorite, going 11-1 compared to 3-8 as the underdog. So far, they have gone 6-6 in Big Ten play and 14-9 overall.

Recently, the Hoosiers have gone 4-6 in their last 10 road games. In their last game, they defeated Ohio State by a score of 76-73. For the season, their average scoring margin on the road is -6.4 points per game.

Against the spread, Indiana is 12-10-1 this season and has gone 6-5 vs. the spread when favored. On the road, the Hoosiers are 4-3-1 vs. the spread this year and have gone 5-4-1 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread. As the underdog, Indiana has an ATS record of 6-5 this season and is 6-4 in their last 10 games as the underdog vs. the spread.

Indiana’s over/under record for the season sits at 12-11, and the average scoring total in their games is 147.8 points. Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games this year (145.8). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 148 points.

In their recent matchup, the Indiana offense ended with 76 points against Ohio State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 44.6% and made 5 threes. Malik Reneau led the team in scoring, putting up 26 points. Additionally, Trey Galloway contributed 25 points for the Hoosiers.

The Hoosiers’ defense is presently ranked 224th nationally, allowing an average of 74.2 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 8.4 threes per game vs. Purdue. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.0%.

Do the Boilermakers Have What it Takes at Home?

Through 23 games this season, Purdue has been dominant. They are 21-2 overall and have won seven straight games, including a 75-69 victory over Wisconsin in their most recent contest. They are also a perfect 14-0 at home this year.

As for the Boilermakers’ record as the favorite, they are 20-2, and they have been favored in 22 of their 23 games. Purdue has been even better at home, going 10-0 in their last 10 games at Mackey Arena.

As the favorite this season, Purdue has gone 12-8-2 vs. the spread. Their ATS mark at home is 8-5-1 and they have gone 1-2 ATS in their last three home games. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Boilermakers have a 5-5 ATS mark.

So far this season, the over/under record for Purdue games is 15-7-1. Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (148.2), and this year, 10 of their games have had a lower over/under line than 148.5. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1-1.

In their recent matchup, the Purdue offense ended with 75 points against Wisconsin. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 47.4% and made 3 threes. Offensively, the Boilermakers have a season long field goal percentage of 49%, which is 35th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 35th in percentage and 79th in three-pointers made.

So far, the Boilermakers’ defense is ranked 121st in the country at 70.0 points per contest. The Purdue defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 69 points and allowed Wisconsin to connect on 3 threes.