Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Redbirds versus the Aces? Tip off is at at 2:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Ford Center in Evansville, IN. Illinois State is favored by -2 in this Missouri Valley conference matchup the against Evansville. The over/under for the game is set at 139.5 points.


The Pick: Evansville Aces +2

This game will be played at Ford Center at 2:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Aces.
  • Not only will Evansville pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 139.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Can the Redbirds Grab a Win on the Road?

Illinois State enters today’s game with a 10-10 overall record, including a 4-5 mark in Missouri Valley Conference play. The Redbirds are coming off a 77-67 win over Belmont and have won two straight games to improve their win streak to two.

On the road this season, Illinois State is just 2-6, and their average scoring margin away from home is -9.0 points per game. However, they have been the favorite in nine of their 20 games, going 6-3 in those matchups.

As the favorite this season, Illinois State has gone 5-4 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Redbirds have an ATS record of 6-4. On the road, Illinois State’s ATS mark is just 2-6 this year and their ATS record over their last 10 road games is 2-8.

Illinois State’s over/under record for the season sits at 8-11 and the average over/under line in their games is 140.8. So far, 11 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line of 139.5. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points and their over/under record for their last three games is 0-3.

In their recent matchup, the Illinois State offense ended with 77 points against Belmont. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 45.6% and made 8 threes. The top scorer for the Redbirds was Myles Foster with 19 points, while Johnny Kinziger also added 13 to the scoreboard.

At present, the Redbirds’ defense is nationally ranked 86th, allowing 68.5 points per game. In their previous game vs. Belmont, the Bruins finished with a field goal percentage of 45% and a total of 67 points vs. Illinois State.

Can Evansville Lock in a Home Win?

Evansville has been much better at home this season, as they have gone 6-2 compared to their 4-7 road record. They will look to bounce back from a 70-63 loss to Northern Iowa, which was their second straight defeat.

So far, the Aces have gone 11-9 overall, including a 2-7 mark in Missouri Valley Conference games. Their average scoring margin at home this season is +5.4 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Evansville has gone 9-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Aces are 5-5 vs. the spread. At home, Evansville has an ATS record of 4-4 this season and they are 1-4 vs. the spread in their last 5 home games.

On the season, the over/under record in Evansville games is 8-11, and today’s over/under line of 139.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (146.1). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 143 points.

The Evansville offense is coming off a game in which they scored 63 points vs. Northern Iowa. Overall their field goal percentage was 44.6% while connecting on 7 threes. The team’s top scorer is Yacine Toumi, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 11.3, while Ben Humrichous also maintains a PPG average of 15.8 leading up to the game.

At this time, the Aces’ defense is positioned 217th in the country, permitting 74.6 points per game. The Evansville defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 70 points and allowed Northern Iowa to connect on 7 threes.