The Redbirds and Braves are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Braves will host the game at Carver Arena in Peoria, IL. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 133.5 points, and Bradley is favored by -13 to win at home against Illinois State.


The Pick: Illinois State Redbirds +13

This game will be played at Carver Arena at 8:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Braves.
  • Even though we have Bradley winning straight-up, we like Illinois State at +13.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 133.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can Illinois State Stun the Crowd at Carver Arena?

Illinois State will be looking to extend their three-game winning streak when they take on Bradley. The Redbirds have gone 14-14 overall, including an 8-9 record in Missouri Valley Conference play.

As the underdog, Illinois State has gone 6-9 this season. On the road, they have gone 4-8, and their average scoring margin is -5.3 points per game.

Against the spread, Illinois State has gone 13-14 this season. On the road, they are 5-7 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Redbirds have gone 7-8 vs. the spread this year. In their last 3 road games, Illinois State is 3-0 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are 5-5 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Illinois State games is 12-15 and today’s line of 133.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (139.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 155 points and the over/under record is 3-0.

Illinois State recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 81 points against Northern Iowa. This output exceeded their season average of 67.2 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Myles Foster, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 12.2, while Darius Burford also carries a PPG average of 13.2 into the game.

The Redbirds’ defense is presently ranked 77th nationally, allowing an average of 68.2 points per contest. Illinois State’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Northern Iowa offense to knock down 52% of their shots on their way to putting up 73 points.

Can the Braves Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

Bradley is 10-3 at home this season, and they have won four of their last five games at home. In their last game, they defeated Missouri State by a score of 86-62. On the year, Bradley is 17-6 when they are the favorite, and they have been favored in 23 of their 28 games.

So far this season, Bradley has an average scoring margin of +11.4 points per game at home. Overall, they have a record of 19-9, and they are 11-6 in Missouri Valley Conference games.

Bradley’s ATS record this season is 14-11-2, including a mark of 7-5-1 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Braves are 4-6 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS record is 4-4-1 over their last 10 games.

On the season, the over/under record in Bradley games is 17-10. Today’s over/under line of 133.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (140.2). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 147 points compared to their season average of 144.9.

In their recent matchup, the Bradley offense ended with 86 points against Missouri State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 53.2% and made 16 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Duke Deen, who is averaging 14.5 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Malevy Leons also maintains a PPG average of 14.1 heading into game.

At this time, the Braves’ defense is positioned 76th in the country, permitting 68.1 points per game. The Bradley defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 62 points and allowed Missouri State to connect on 4 threes.