The Fighting Illini and Badgers are set to face off at 1:00 ET on BTN. The Badgers will host the game at Kohl Center in Madison, WI. This Big Ten conference matchup has an over/under of 154.5 points, and Wisconsin is favored to win by -3 at home vs. Illinois.


The Pick: Wisconsin Badgers -3

This game will be played at Kohl Center at 1:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Badgers.
  • Not only will Wisconsin pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 154.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will the Fighting Illini Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

Illinois comes into this game as the underdog, a role they have played five times this season, going 2-3. For the season, they are 21-7, including a 12-5 mark in Big Ten play.

On the road, the Fighting Illini are 5-5 this season, and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games away from home. In their last game, they beat Minnesota 105-97, and they have won two in a row.

Illinois has an ATS record of 14-12-2 this season and they are 6-3-1 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, they have gone 3-1-1 vs. the spread this year and their ATS mark over their last 10 games as the underdog is 7-2-1. On the road, their ATS record over their last 10 games is 6-3-1.

Today’s over/under line of 154.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Illinois’ games this season (148.5). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 186 points and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 9-1.

Illinois’ offense is coming off a good game, putting up 105 points vs. Minnesota. Overall, they hit 61.3% of their shots from the field and went 19/25 from the free-throw line. The team’s scoring leader is Terrence Shannon Jr., who holds an average of 21.9 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Marcus Domask is averaging 15.5 points per game this season.

The Fighting Illini’s defense is presently ranked 191st nationally, allowing an average of 72.9 points per contest. Illinois’ three-point defense is currently 52nd in the country at 6.0 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.0% of their shots vs. Illinois.

Can the Badgers Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

Wisconsin has been the favorite in 19 of their 28 games this season, going 14-5 in those contests. At home, the Badgers have been even better, going 15-2 compared to just 3-8 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +12.0 points per game, and they have won their last two games at home.

Overall, Wisconsin is 18-10 this season, including a 10-7 mark in Big Ten games. They are coming off a 74-70 loss to Indiana, and they have gone 4-1 in their last five games at home.

Wisconsin has struggled against the spread this season, going just 11-17. They have been even worse vs. the spread when favored, posting a mark of 7-12. Their ATS record at home is 9-8, but they have gone just 1-4 vs. the spread in their last 5 home games.

Wisconsin’s over/under record for the season is 16-10-2 and today’s over/under line of 154.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (138.3). In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 153 points.

The Badgers’ offense wrapped up their last game with 70 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 74.1 points per contest. Offensively, the Badgers hold a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, placing them 105th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 206th in terms of percentage and 253rd in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Badgers’ defense is positioned 88th in the country, permitting 68.9 points per game. Wisconsin’s three-point defense is currently 119th in the country at 6.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.9% of their shots vs. Wisconsin.