Betting on today’s Fighting Illini and Nittany Lions game? Catch the action at Bryce Jordan Center in University Park, PA, as the Nittany Lions hosts this showdown at 6:30 ET on BTN. Illinois is favored by -7.5 in this Big Ten conference contest against Penn State. The game’s over/under currently sits at 158 points.


The Pick: Penn State Nittany Lions +7.5

This game will be played at Bryce Jordan Center at 6:30 ET on Wednesday, February 21st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Nittany Lions.
  • Not only will Penn State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 158 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Can the Fighting Illini Pull Off a Win at University Park?

Illinois enters this game as a 7.5-point favorite, and they have been the favorite in 20 of their 25 games this season. So far, they are 17-3 when favored.

On the road this year, the Fighting Illini are 5-4, and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games away from home.

When looking at Illinois’ ATS record this season, they are currently 13-10-2. On the road, the Fighting Illini have gone 6-2-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Illinois has gone 5-5 ATS. Their ATS mark vs. the spread this year when favored is 10-9-1.

This season, the over/under record for Illinois games is 17-8. Today’s line of 158 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (147.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 165 points, and the over/under record in their games over their last 10 contests is 9-1.

In their most recent game, the Fighting Illini’s offense tallied 85 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 83.1 points per game. In terms of offense, the Fighting Illini have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, putting them 104th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 168th in percentage and 83rd in three-pointers made.

Illinois’ defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 70.7 points per game. So far, the Illinois defense is giving up an average of 8.7 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.4 times per game (449th).

Will Penn State Win at Home?

After losing their last three games, Penn State is now 12-14 overall and 6-9 in Big Ten play. They are 10-5 at home this season, compared to 2-9 on the road. As the underdog, the Nittany Lions are 6-10 this year.

Most recently, Penn State fell to Nebraska by a score of 68-49. Over their last ten games at home, the Nittany Lions have gone 6-4. So far, they have been outscored by an average of 8.6 points per game on the road.

As the underdog this season, Penn State has gone 9-7 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 7-8 for the year and over their last 10 home games, the Nittany Lions have an even 5-5 record vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record in Penn State games is 15-10-1, and today’s over/under line of 158 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (146.2). So far, 18 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s over/under line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 133 points.

Most recently, the Penn State offense finished with just 49 points vs. Nebraska. For the game, they hit 5/23 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 33.3%. Kanye Clary is leading the team in scoring at 16.7 points per contest. Adrian Baldwin Jr has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 14 going into the game.

At present, the Nittany Lions’ defense is nationally ranked 208th, allowing 73.3 points per game. So far, the Penn State defense is giving up an average of 9.4 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.5 times per game (456th).