The Fighting Illini and Terrapins are set to face off at 5:30 ET on FOX. The Terrapins will host the game at XFINITY Center in College Park, MD. Illinois is favored by -2 in this Big Ten conference matchup the against Maryland. The over/under for the game is set at 139.5 points.


The Pick: Maryland Terrapins +2

This game will be played at XFINITY Center at 5:30 ET on Saturday, February 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Terrapins.
  • Not only will Maryland pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 139.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Will the Fighting Illini Win on the Road?

Illinois is favored by two points on the road against Maryland. They come into the game with an 18-6 overall record and a 9-4 mark in Big Ten play. Their road record this season is 4-4, and they have an average scoring margin of +5.5 points per game in those contests.

Over their last 10 road games, the Fighting Illini have gone just 4-6. They are 16-3 this season when favored, and they have won four straight games at home.

As the favorite this season, Illinois has gone 9-9-1 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS mark is 12-10-2, but they have a better record on the road at 5-2-1. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Illini are 5-5 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 139.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Illinois’ games this year (147.5). So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 168 points.

In their latest game, Illinois’ offense looked good, scoring 97 points against Michigan. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 56.2% and made 13/15 free throws. The top scorer for the Fighting Illini was Terrence Shannon Jr. with 31 points, while Coleman Hawkins also added 17 to the scoreboard.

Illinois’ defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 70.3 points per game. Illinois’ three-point defense is currently 42nd in the country at 5.7 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.8% of their shots vs. Illinois.

Can Maryland Pull Out the Win as Home Underdogs?

At home this season, Maryland has a record of 11-4, and they have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games at home. The Terrapins’ average scoring margin at home this season is +11.5 points per game.

So far, Maryland has been the underdog in 10 games, and they have gone 3-7 in those games. In their last game, they defeated Iowa by a score of 78-66.

Overall, Maryland’s ATS record this season is 10-15 and they are currently 6-9 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Terps are 4-6 and they are 1-2 ATS in their last 3 games as the underdog.

Today’s over/under line of 139.5 for Maryland’s game against Illinois is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (136.4). So far, 16 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points, which is higher than their season average of 133.2 points per game.

Maryland is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 78 points vs. Iowa. This figure is more than their season average of 69.4 points per game. Leading Maryland in scoring vs. Iowa was Jahmir Young with his 21 points. Deshawn Harris-Smith also added 17 points for the Terrapins.

At present, the Terrapins’ defense is nationally ranked 15th, allowing 63.8 points per game. Maryland’s three-point defense is currently 24th in the country at 5.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.8% of their shots vs. Maryland.