The Vandals and Bears are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bears will host the game at Bank of Colorado Arena in Greeley, CO. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 145.5 points, and Northern Colorado is favored by -10.5 to win at home against Idaho.


The Pick: Idaho Vandals +10.5

This game will be played at Bank of Colorado Arena at 8:00 ET on Thursday, February 22nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-69 in favor of the Bears.
  • Even though we have Northern Colorado winning straight-up, we like Idaho at +10.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Can the Vandals Grab a Win in Greeley?

Idaho comes into this game with a 10-16 overall record after narrowly defeating Idaho State 55-53. When playing away from home, the Vandals have a 4-8 record this season, and they also have a 4-8 record when playing at home. Currently sitting at 11-12-1, Idaho has an ATS record that is below .500. However, in their last five games, the team has been exceptional against the spread, going 5-0.

After 26 games, Idaho has an over/under record of 12-10-2, with their games averaging a combined 139.9 points per game so far. Over the course of the last five games, the Vandals’ games have averaged 135 points per game, along with an over/under record of 2-2-1.

Idaho offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 55 points against Idaho State. In that game, they made 5/18 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 36.5%. The team’s scoring leader is Quinn Denker, who holds an average of 12.2 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Julius Mims is averaging 11.7 points per game this season.

At this time, the Vandals’ defense is positioned 135th in the country, permitting 70.8 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Idaho’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 44.5% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 35.6% this season.

Is A Home Victory Likely for Favored Northern Colorado?

Heading into their 27th game, Northern Colorado will face Idaho holding a record of 16-10. In road games, the Bears have gone 6-6 this season, and they have an 8-3 record when playing at home. Northern Colorado has a subpar ATS record, sitting below .500 at 10-12-1. Over their last ten games, Northern Colorado is 1-4 against the spread.

Looking at their over/under performance through 26 games, Northern Colorado has an over/under record of 16-7-0, with their games averaging 160 points per game on average. When analyzing the Bears’ last five games, they have produced a combined average of 151 points per game and an over/under record of 2-2-1.

In their previous game, the Bears’ offense finished with 80 points, which is right in line with their current average of 80.6 points per contest. Offensively, the Bears hold a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, placing them 44th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 68th in terms of percentage and 123rd in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Bears’ defense holds the 293rd rank in the nation, allowing 77.8 points per game. Against Sacramento State in their most recent game, the Northern Colorado defense gave up a total of 75 points while allowing Sacramento State to hit 56% of their shots.