Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Bengals versus the Hornets? Tip off is at at 9:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at The Hornets Nest in Sacramento, CA. This Big Sky conference matchup has an over/under of 132.5 points, and the Hornets are favored to win at home vs. the Bengals.
IDAHO STATE BENGALS VS SACRAMENTO STATE HORNETS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Sacramento State Hornets -1.5
This game will be played at The Hornets Nest at 9:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.
WHY BET THE SACRAMENTO STATE HORNETS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Hornets.
- Not only will Sacramento State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 132.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Is a Road Win Possible for Idaho State?
Idaho State is coming off a 69-63 win over Portland State, and they have won two straight games to improve to 6-10 on the season. They are 1-2 in Big Sky play and have gone 5-8 in non-conference action.
On the road, the Bengals are just 2-8 this season, and they are 2-9 as the underdog. For the year, they have been the underdog 11 times compared to just three times as the favorite.
As the underdog, Idaho State has an ATS record of 4-7 this season and they are 4-10 overall. On the road, the Bengals have gone 4-6 vs. the spread this year and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
Idaho State’s over/under record is 8-4-2 this season and the average scoring total in their games is 138.1 points. So far, 9 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 132.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 144 points and their OU record in their last 10 games is 7-2-1.
Coming off their recent game, the Idaho State offense tallied 69 points in a matchup against Portland State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 38.6%, and they made 9 threes. Leading Idaho State in scoring vs. Portland State was Miguel Tomley with his 19 points. Maleek Arington also added 12 points for the Bengals.
Currently, the Bengals’ defense holds the 104th rank in the nation, allowing 68.6 points per game. Against Portland State in their most recent game, the Idaho State defense gave up a total of 63 points while allowing Portland State to hit 43% of their shots.
Can Sacramento State Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?
Despite their struggles at home this season, Sacramento State comes into this game as slight favorites with a record of 1-3 in such games. Their average scoring margin at home is -5.8, and they come in with a home record of 2-4.
After their two-point win over Weber State, Sacramento State is now 5-11 overall and 1-2 in Big Sky play. Over their last 10 games at home, the Hornets have gone 5-5.
As the favorite, Sacramento State has gone 1-3 vs. the spread this season and 3-7 in their last 10 games as the favorite. At home, the Hornets are 2-4 vs. the spread this year and 3-5 in their last 10 home games.
So far this season, the over/under record in Sacramento State games sits at 7-7. The average point total in their games is 138.6, compared to an average over/under line of 140.3, resulting in an average margin of -1.8 points. Today’s over/under line of 132.5 is lower than the average scoring total in their last three games (127 points) and their last five games (129 points). Over their last 10 games, their over/under record is 3-6.
The Hornets’ offense wrapped up their last game with 71 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 70.2 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring is Duncan Powell, who is averaging 13.9 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Zee Hamoda also maintains a PPG average of 12.2 heading into game.
At this time, the Hornets’ defense is positioned 179th in the country, permitting 72.2 points per game. Sacramento State’s three-point defense is currently 109th in the country at 6.8 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.7% of their shots vs. Sacramento State.