The Bengals and Bears are set to face off at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bears will host the game at Idaho Central Arena in Boise, ID. This Big Sky conference matchup has an over/under of 142.5 points, and Northern Colorado is favored to win by -3.5 at home vs. Idaho State.


The Pick: Northern Colorado Bears -3.5

This game will be played at Idaho Central Arena at 10:00 ET on Sunday, March 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Bears.
  • Not only will Northern Colorado pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 142.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will Idaho State Make it Happen on the Road?

Idaho State comes into this game as a 3.5-point underdog, and they have gone 5-15 this season when they are the underdog. Overall, the Bengals are 13-19, and they have gone 8-10 in Big Sky Conference play.

On the road this season, Idaho State has gone just 5-14, and their average scoring margin is -5.1 points per game. In their last game, they beat Northern Arizona by a score of 68-60.

As the underdog this season, Idaho State has gone 9-10-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bengals have an ATS mark of 6-3-1. On the road, Idaho State is 9-9-1 vs. the spread this year and they are 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 road contests.

Idaho State’s over/under record for the season sits at 17-10-2, and today’s over/under line of 142.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (136.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 6-4.

In their recent game, the Bengals’ offense concluded with 68 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 70.5 points per contest. The team’s scoring leader is Brayden Parker, who holds an average of 14.9 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Miguel Tomley is averaging 13.3 points per game this season.

Currently, the Bengals’ defense holds the 109th rank in the nation, allowing 69.8 points per game. Idaho State’s three-point defense is currently 18th in the country at 5.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 46.0% of their shots vs. Idaho State.

Taking a Look at the Bears Chances at Home

With a 19-12 record, Northern Colorado has been solid this season, and they have won two games in a row. At home, they have gone 9-4, and over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 8-2. For the year, they have been favored in 18 games, going 13-5.

As for Idaho State, they come in with a 7-7 non-conference record, and they have gone 8-7 on the road. For the year, they have gone 12-5 in Big Sky action. Northern Colorado comes in as a 3.5-point favorite, and the over/under is set at 142.5.

When looking at Northern Colorado’s ATS record this season, they have gone 13-14-1. At home, their ATS mark is 4-8-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bears have gone 4-6 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Northern Colorado games is 17-9-2. So far, the average point total in their games is 158.9 points, which is higher than today’s OU line of 142.5. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 160 points.

Northern Colorado’s offense had a good outing, putting up 82 points against Northern Arizona. They achieved a 62.5% field goal percentage and went 10/12 from the free-throw line. In terms of offense, the Bears have a season-long field goal percentage of 49%, putting them 31st in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 69th in percentage and 139th in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Bears’ defense is positioned 302nd in the country, permitting 77.7 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 8.3 threes per game vs. Idaho State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.5%.