Planning on watching today’s Bengals and Lumberjacks game? Catch the action at J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome in Flagstaff, AZ, as the Lumberjacks hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. The odds for this Big Sky conference game currently have Northern Arizona as the -2 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 136 points.
IDAHO STATE BENGALS VS NORTHERN ARIZONA LUMBERJACKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -2
This game will be played at J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome at 4:00 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.
WHY BET THE NORTHERN ARIZONA LUMBERJACKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Lumberjacks.
- Not only will Northern Arizona pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 136 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Can Idaho State Pull Off a Road Win?
Idaho State comes into this game with a record of 8-14, including a 3-5 mark in Big Sky play. On the road, the Bengals are just 3-10 this season, and they have a scoring margin of -6.1 points per game.
As the underdog, Idaho State is 3-12, and they have been the underdog 15 times this season. In their last game, the Bengals beat Weber State by a score of 74-64.
As the underdog, Idaho State has a record of 5-9-1 vs. the spread this season and an ATS mark of 6-12-1 overall. On the road, the Bengals are 5-7-1 vs. the spread and have gone 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Idaho State’s over/under record this season is 11-6-2 and the average point total in their games is 137.7. Today’s over/under line of 136 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (135.7). In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those contests is 153 points.
The Idaho State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 74 points vs. Weber State. Overall their field goal percentage was 50% while connecting on 3 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Brayden Parker who comes into today’s matchup averaging 14.1. Miguel Tomley also heads into the game with a PPG average of 12.2.
The Bengals’ defense is presently ranked 119th nationally, allowing an average of 69.7 points per contest. So far, the Idaho State defense is giving up an average of 6.5 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.2 times per game (499th).
Is It the Lumberjacks Game to Lose at Home?
After losing their last two games, Northern Arizona has fallen to 10-12 overall and 3-5 in Big Sky play. However, the Lumberjacks have been much better at home this season, going 5-1 compared to just 5-11 on the road.
So far, Northern Arizona has been favored in six of their 22 games, going a perfect 6-0 in those contests. Their average scoring margin at home is +8.2 compared to -15.4 on the road.
As the favorite this season, Northern Arizona has gone 3-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Lumberjacks are 5-5 ATS. At home, Northern Arizona has an ATS record of 4-2 this season and they have gone 6-4 ATS over their last 10 home games.
The over/under record for Northern Arizona this season is 8-13-1, and today’s line of 136 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (144.8). So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points.
The Lumberjacks’ offense finished with 70 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 66.6 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring is Trenton McLaughlin, who is averaging 16.3 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Carson Basham also maintains a PPG average of 10.6 heading into game.
Coming into today’s game, the Northern Arizona defense is giving up an average of 75.5 points per contest. Northern Arizona’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Weber State offense to knock down 48% of their shots on their way to putting up 72 points.