Planning on watching today’s Bengals and Grizzlies game? Catch the action at Dahlberg Arena in Missoula, MT, as the Grizzlies hosts this showdown at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. This Big Sky conference matchup has an over/under of 141.5 points, and Montana is favored to win by -8 at home vs. Idaho State.


The Pick: Idaho State Bengals +8

This game will be played at Dahlberg Arena at 9:00 ET on Monday, March 4th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Grizzlies.
  • Even though we have Montana winning straight-up, we like Idaho State at +8.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 141.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will Idaho State Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

Idaho State enters this game as the underdog, as they have been in 19 of their 30 games this season. Their record as the underdog is 5-14, compared to 5-3 as the favorite. They are also 4-13 on the road this season.

The Bengals are coming off a narrow 81-79 loss to Northern Colorado. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone just 3-7, and they are currently on a two-game losing streak away from home.

As the underdog, Idaho State has been solid vs. the spread this season, going 9-9-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bengals have an ATS mark of 6-3-1. On the road, Idaho State has a respectable ATS record of 8-8-1 this year.

Today’s over/under line of 141.5 for Idaho State’s game against Montana is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (136.2). So far, 15 of their 27 games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average of 160 points scored in those matchups.

Coming off their recent game, the Idaho State offense tallied 79 points in a matchup against Northern Colorado. Their field goal percentage for the game was 48.3%, and they made 8 threes. Brayden Parker is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 14.9. Meanwhile, Miguel Tomley also brings a PPG average of 13.3 into the game.

Currently, the Bengals’ defense holds the 109th rank in the nation, allowing 69.9 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Idaho State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.5% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 34.0% this season.

Can the Grizzlies Hold Strong at Home?

Montana enters this game with a 20-10 overall record and an 11-6 record in Big Sky Conference play. They have been a much better team at home this season, going 9-3 compared to their 8-7 record on the road. Montana is currently riding a three-game win streak at home.

So far this season, Montana has been favored in 19 of their 30 games, and they have gone 15-4 in those games. Their average scoring margin at home is +9.8 points per game, compared to -2.5 on the road.

Montana’s ATS record this season is 16-11, including a mark of 7-5 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Grizzlies have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 141.5 points is lower than the average over/under line in Montana’s games this season (143.2 points). So far, 10 of their games have finished with less points than today’s over/under line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

In their most recent game, the Grizzlies’ offense tallied 80 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 77.2 points per game. For the season, the Montana offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 48%. So far, they have hit 55% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 7.8 made three’s per contest.

At present, the Grizzlies’ defense is nationally ranked 148th, allowing 71.5 points per game. In their previous game vs. Idaho, the Vandals finished with a field goal percentage of 37% and a total of 57 points vs. Montana.