Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Bengals versus the Grizzlies? Tip off is at at 11:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN2. The game will be played at Idaho Central Arena in Boise, ID. The over/under for this Big Sky conference contest is set at 140.5 points, with Montana being favored by -6.5 at home against Idaho State.

IDAHO STATE BENGALS VS MONTANA GRIZZLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Montana Grizzlies -6.5

This game will be played at Idaho Central Arena at 11:00 ET on Tuesday, March 12th.

WHY BET THE MONTANA GRIZZLIES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Grizzlies.
  • Not only will Montana pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can Idaho State Secure a Road Victory?

Idaho State enters this game as the underdog, as they have gone 6-15 in 21 games as the underdog this season. They have gone 14-19 overall, including a 9-10 record in Big Sky Conference games.

The Bengals have gone 6-14 on the road this season, and they are coming off a 2-point win over Northern Colorado. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 4-6.

This season, Idaho State has an ATS record of 13-16-1 and they have gone 10-9-1 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bengals have a 6-3-1 ATS mark and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as the underdog. On the road, Idaho State has gone 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 games.

Today’s over/under line of 140.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Idaho State’s games this season (136.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points, and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 6-4.

In their recent matchup, the Idaho State offense ended with 83 points against Northern Colorado. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 46.8% and made 6 threes. The team’s top scorer is Brayden Parker, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 14.8, while Miguel Tomley also carries a PPG average of 13.8 into the game.

Currently, the Bengals’ defense holds the 111st rank in the nation, allowing 70.0 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Idaho State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 46.0% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 33.9% this season.

Will the Montana Defense Show Up at Home?

Montana is 24-3 at home this season and has won 18 straight games at home. They are 30-4 when favored and 26-6 in Big Sky games.

They are 21-10 overall and have won 16 straight games, including an 87-81 win over Portland State in their last game.

Montana’s ATS record this season is 17-25, including an 8-19 mark at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Grizzlies have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 140.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Montana’s games this season (143.4). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 149 points.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Montana’s offense scored 87 points against Portland State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 50.9%, and they went 22/30 from the free-throw line. Offensively, the Grizzlies have a season long field goal percentage of 48%, which is 40th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 146th in percentage and 123rd in three-pointers made.

So far, the Grizzlies’ defense is ranked 144th in the country at 71.3 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Montana’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.4% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.3% this season.