Idaho at Montana State Free CBB Pick
- 23rd Jan 2016
- Matt Barnes
Last Updated: 2017-03-06
The Idaho Vandals will be at Max Worthington Arena to play the Montana State Bobcats in a Big Sky matchup. Action gets underway at 4:05 pm ET on Saturday, Jan. 23.
The Bobcats come into this game hoping to repeat their last performance, topping Eastern Washington 85-71 on Thursday. Tyler Hall led all scorers on the team with 24 points on 7-for-15 shooting. The Vandals, meanwhile, are coming off a 63-58 win against Montana on Thursday. Victor Sanders led the game in scoring by accounting for 27 points on 6-for-10 shooting.
Sanders has upped his play over the last five games for the Vandals, averaging 23.6 points, 3.6 rebounds, 2.6 assists, 1.6 steals, 1.4 blocks, and 2.6 three-pointers.
The aggressive Idaho offense may see plenty of chances from the free throw line in this one. It ranks 27th in the nation at getting to the stripe (FTA rate of 44.2), while Montana State gets whistled quite a bit (giving up a 273rd-ranked FTA rate of 40.8).
Montana State is a slight one-point favorite at home against Idaho. Oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at 143 points.
For updated lines, check out BTB’s College Basketball Odds.
The Bobcats have gone 8-11 Straight Up (SU) and 10-7 Against The Spread (ATS). Montana State is excellent from the perimeter with 176 three-pointers made (9.0 per game), the 31st-most in the country.
Over on the other bench, the Vandals have 12-7 SU and 9-6 ATS records. Offensively, the Vandals have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 70.6 points per game by averaging 76.6 during that stretch.
The conference rivals meet for what will be their first head-to-head battle of the season. Idaho won the last game in the matchup, taking the head-to-head record to an even 4-4 SU. The teams also have an even 4-4 record ATS.
Predictions: SU Winner – Idaho, ATS Winner – Idaho, O/U – Over
Idaho is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Idaho’s last 8 games on the road.
Idaho is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games on the road.
Idaho is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Montana State.
Montana State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Idaho.
Montana State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Idaho.
Montana State scores an average of just 76.2 points per game (ranked 125th). Idaho ranks 59th in points allowed, giving up 66.4 points per game.
The Idaho Vandals have a defensive rating of 96.9 (ranked 64th), while the Montana State Bobcats have an offensive rating of 108.0 (ranked 123rd).
The Idaho Vandals average a field goal percentage of 43.2% this season. The Montana State Bobcats have a losing record of 4-10 when opponents have a FG% of 43.2% or greater.
The Montana State Bobcats and the Idaho Vandals both rank higher in average effective field goal percentage when compared to their field goal percentages. Montana State is 210th and 136th in the nation for FG% and eFG% respectively, while Idaho is 220th and 184th in these categories.
Montana State ranks 69th in offensive rebounding. Idaho ranks 134th in defensive rebounding.
On average, Montana State forces a turnover rate of 16.0%. When Idaho turns over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a winning 11-6 record.
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