Houston Texans vs. Philadelphia Eagles – Free Betting Pick Week 16

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

 
Sunday, 12/23/2018 at 01:00 pm HOUSTON (10-4) at PHILADELPHIA (7-7)
Expanded Matchup Game Center Bet Now Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P RY PY TY RY PY TY
113HOUSTON 46 25.1 20.1 10-4 6-6-2 6-8-0 130.4 233.1 363.5 88.3 258.3 346.6
114PHILADELPHIA -2 22.2 22.7 7-7 5-9-0 5-8-1 98.9 255.9 354.8 104.9 281.2 386.1

Last Updated: 2018-12-19

The Houston Texans (+0) are heading northeast to face the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field. CBS has the TV rights and the game’s scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET.

Houston Texans at Philadelphia Eagles Betting Odds

This game is currently a pick ’em, and the over/under (O/U) is set at 45 points.

The O/U has yet to move after it was set initially at 45. Having said that, the opening line was 1.5 and has recently moved down to 0.

The Texans are 10-4 straight up (SU) while the Eagles are 7-7 SU. The Texans are 6-6-2 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 3.6 units so far. They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U record of 6-8.

The Eagles are down 0.5 units this season. They’re 5-9 ATS and have an O/U record of 5-8-1.

The Texans just put together a 29-22 victory over the Jets in Week 15 in which Deshaun Watson completed 22-of-28 passes for 294 yards and two touchdowns. Alfred Blue (six yards on nine rush attempts) led the ground attack. DeAndre Hopkins (10 receptions, 170 yards, two TDs) and Demaryius Thomas (six catches, 59 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Philadelphia just got a 30-23 win over the Rams in Week 15. The defensive secondary let the Rams air it out for 339 yards. Todd Gurley II was a bright spot in the defeat, recording 48 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 12 attempts, along with 76 yards and a score on 10 catches for Los Angeles. For Philadelphia, Nick Foles completed 24-of-31 passes for 270 yards and one interception. Josh Adams (28 rushing yards on 15 attempts, one TD) and Wendell Smallwood (48 yards on 10 carries, two TDs) mounted the running game while Alshon Jeffery (eight receptions, 160 yards) and Golden Tate (five catches, 43 yards) led the receiving corps in the win.

Houston’s run the ball on 49.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Philadelphia has an overall rush percentage of 39.9 percent. The Texans have run for 130 yards/game and have eight scores on the ground this year. The Eagles are averaging 99 rush yards per contest and have 12 total rushing TDs.

Judging by the results this season, it seems like the Texans might own an edge in all aspects of the ground game, as their running backs has produced 4.3 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 3.6 YPC to opponents. The Eagles have tallied 4.0 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 4.9 to opponents.

The Texans have tallied 257 yards/contest through the air overall and have 24 passing TDs so far. The Eagles have recorded 272 pass yards per outing and have 22 total pass scores.

Defensively, Houston appears to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 88 yards and throw for 279 yards per game. Philadelphia has allowed 104.9 yards per game on the ground and 298.7 to opponents in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Texans have given up an ANY/A of 6.33 to opposing QBs, while the Eagles are allowing an ANY/A of 6.54.

Watson is up to 3,325 pass yards on the year, and has completed 264-of-392 attempts with 23 passing touchdowns and nine interceptions. Watson has a 7.05 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.82 over the last two outings.

We expect Watson to attack all areas of the Philadelphia secondary. DeAndre Hopkins (202 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns), Demaryius Thomas (592 yards, five TDs) and Ryan Griffin (202 yards) have all been heavily involved recently.

For the home team, Nick Foles has put up 721 yards, one TD and two INTs. Foles’ ANY/A stands at 5.30 for the season and 7.26 over his past two games.

We’re looking for Eagles to control tempo by putting the ball into the hands of their running backs. In addition to Alshon Jeffery (652 receiving yards, four receiving TDs), Darren Sproles (62 rush yards, one rush TD, 38 receiving yards) and Josh Adams (404 rush yards, three rush TDs) have delivered significant production to the Philadelphia offense.

Houston Texans at Philadelphia Eagles Free Betting Pick

SU Winner – Eagles, ATS Winner – Eagles, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Trends

Houston has produced 4.0 yards per carry over its past three games and 3.2 over its last two.

Philadelphia has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.3 over its past two.

Philadelphia has lost 10 fumbles this season while Houston has lost five.

Houston has won 11 of its last 12 games SU, with a three-point loss to Indianapolis on December 9th accounting for the only defeat over that stretch.

Philadelphia has won four of its last five games SU, with a -6-point defeat to Dallas on December 9th accounting for the lone loss over that stretch.

Both passing attacks have produced seven pass plays of 40 yards or more. The Texans have have made 18 pass plays of 30+ yards while the Eagles have created 21 such plays.

The Houston defense has allowed 10 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Philadelphia has given up six such plays.

The Houston offense has created eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Philadelphia has created seven such runs.

The Texans defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Eagles have given up 13 such runs.

The Houston D has 39 sacks on the year while Philadelphia has 35.

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