The Thunder (-487) are a 10-point favorite over the Rockets (+368) in a Western Conference matchup. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 ET at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City.

Oklahoma City (40-17) is currently on a five-game win streak and sits second in the West, while Houston (25-32) is 12th in the conference.


The Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -10

This game will be played at Paycom Center at 10:00 ET on Tuesday, February 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 140-117 in favor of the Thunder.
  • Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.5% and knocking down 14 threes.

Can The Rockets Secure a Road Victory?

Houston is 5-22 on the road this season and has gone 9-17 ATS in those games. As the underdog, they are 11-27 straight-up and 17-20 vs. the spread on the road.

This season, Houston’s road games have averaged a scoring differential of -6.3 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 235 is higher than 50 of their previous games, and their games have averaged 226.3 points per game.

The Rockets are 29-27 ATS overall this season and have failed to cover the spread in their last four road games. Their O/U record for the season is 26-31.

In their last game vs. the Thunder, the Rockets lost by a score of 123-110. They were 6.5-point underdogs in that game and are 11-27 as the underdog this season. The O/U line for that game was 234 points.

Houston is currently 12th in the Western Conference with a record of 25-32. In non-conference games, they are 8-16 compared to 17-16 against the West.

When it comes to scoring, the Rockets are 21st in the NBA at 113.1 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 111.0 points per game.

Overall, the Rockets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 36.8% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 13th in the league at 99.4 possessions per game.

From a shooting perspective, Houston is 27th in field goal percentage at 45%. In terms of three-point shooting, they are making 12.2 threes per game (18th) but are 26th in three-point shooting percentage at 35%.

So far, the Rockets’ defense is ranked 12th in the league at 113.1 points per contest. Houston’s defense is currently forcing 12.7 turnovers per game, which is 15th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 26th in blocked shots, with an average of 4.4 rejections per game.

Are the Thunder Ready for a Home Win?

The Thunder have won five straight games and are 40-17 on the season, which is good for 2nd place in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 16-4 compared to 24-13 against the West.

Oklahoma City has an average scoring margin of +11.6 points per game at home this season. Against the spread, they are 20-9 at home and have covered in their last three games at home.

In their last game against the Rockets, the Thunder won 123-110 as 6.5-point favorites. The O/U line for that game was 234 points.

This season, the Thunder have been favored in 41 of their 57 games and have a record of 31-10 in those games. Against the spread, they are 26-15 as the favorite.

For the season, the Thunder have an O/U record of 32-24-1. In games with higher O/U lines than 235, their record is 18-8-1, and their games have averaged 234.8 points.

Coming into this game, the Thunder are the 3rd highest-scoring team in the NBA at 121.5 points per game. In their 57 games this season, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 70.2% of their games. At home, they are averaging 124.0 points per game (2nd).

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Thunder lead the league in three-point shooting percentage at 39%. They are also 9th in three-point makes at 13.6 per game.

Overall, the Thunder are shooting 50% from the field this season (2nd). In terms of pace, they are 11th in the league at 99.8 possessions per game.

Coming into today’s game, the Thunder’s defense is giving up an average of 113.3 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Thunder defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 51.4% while allowing 36.5% from downtown.