Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz Free Prediction 12/7/17

Last Updated: 2017-12-07

The Houston Rockets (18-4) and their outstanding offense head to Utah as 5.5-point favorites to take on the Jazz (13-12) and their tremendous defense. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 208 points and it will air on TNT at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 7, 2017.

Houston Rockets vs. Utah Jazz Betting Odds

In their last game, the Jazz lost to the Oklahoma City Thunder, 100-94, while the Rockets had no trouble getting past the Los Angeles Lakers, 118-95.

The Rockets held the Lakers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.435 (below their season average of 0.505). The Lakers also had a turnover percentage of 17.1 (above the 13.8 mark opponents have averaged against Houston this season). Utah, meanwhile, forced Oklahoma City into a turnover percentage of 16.3 (above their season average of 13.2). Donovan Mitchell had a good outing for Utah, putting up 31 points and five steals. Houston, meanwhile, rallied around James Harden, who finished with 36 points and nine assists.

It could be a tough game for Utah on the offensive glass. The Jazz rank 22nd in offensive rebounding percentage (20.5 percent), while Houston ranks first in defensive rebounding percentage (81.4 percent). Also, the Rockets’ second-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 112.9) will clash against the Jazz’s fifth-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 101.4).

Games involving the Rockets have a tendency to finish under the total (59.1 percent). Houston comes into the contest with records of 18-4 straight up (SU) and 13-9 against the spread (ATS).

Coinciding with Houston, games including the Jazz have a slight tendency to finish under the total (52.0 percent). Additionally, Utah is 13-12 SU and 15-10 ATS.

Mitchell and Alec Burks have been playing well over the last five games for Utah. Mitchell has averaged 25.2 points and 3.6 assists, while Burks has put up 20.4 points and 1.6 steals a game during that span.

In their first matchup this season, Harden led the Rockets to a 137-110 victory. He notched a double-double with 56 points and 13 assists. The two teams combined to put up 247 points, which was well over the projected point total of 205, and Houston covered as a 6-point favorite. Houston’s effective field goal percentage was its largest advantage over Utah. The Rockets had a rate of 0.735 while the Jazz posted a mark of 0.506.

Houston Rockets vs. Utah Jazz Odds Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Under


Betting Notes:

The Jazz rank eighth in blocks per game (5.3) while the Rockets rank 12th in blocks allowed per game (4.7).

Utah ranks second in points off turnovers per game (19.9) while Houston ranks 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.4).

The Rockets rank 11th in rebounds per game (44.8) while the Jazz rank 26th (40.5).

Houston averages 9.2 steals per game, which ranks third in the league. Utah ranks 15th in steals allowed per game (8.0).

Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (44.0) while Utah ranks 10th (30.5).

The Jazz rank fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (40.1) while the Rockets rank 23rd (46.7).

The Jazz rank second in assists allowed per game (18.4) while the Rockets rank 13th (22.4).

Houston ranks 12th in fast break points per game (11.6) while Utah ranks 27th (8.4).

Utah is 8-2 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Houston is 9-1.

When scoring more than 100 points, the Rockets are 18-2 and the Jazz are 11-4.

Utah is 11-4 ATS at home, while Houston is 8-3 ATS on the road.

Of the Rockets’ 11 road games, they have 7 unders and 4 overs.

In 15 home games, the Jazz have 9 unders and 6 overs.

Bettings Trends:

The Jazz are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Rockets are 3-2.

In their last five games, Utah has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Houston has 4 unders and 1 over.

The Jazz’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 19.0, up from 4.5 for the season.

During their last five games, the Rockets have scored an average of 119.0 points per game (4.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 98.4 points per game (4.3 below their season average).

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