Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Cougars versus the Knights? Tip off is at at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Addition Financial Arena in Orlando, FL. Houston is favored by -8.5 in this Big 12 conference contest against UCF. The game’s over/under currently sits at 130.5 points.


The Pick: UCF Knights +8.5

This game will be played at Addition Financial Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, March 6th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the Knights.
  • Not only will UCF pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 130.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 142 points.

Can The Cougars Secure a Win at Orlando?

With a record of 26-3, Houston has been one of the best teams in the country this season. They have won six games in a row, and their average scoring margin at home is +26.8. On the road, they are 7-3 this season, and their average scoring margin is +2.0. As the favorite, they have gone 24-2 this season.

Most recently, the Cougars played Oklahoma and won by a score of 87-85. Over their last ten games on the road, Houston has gone 7-3. This season, they have a perfect 17-0 record at home.

As the favorite this season, Houston has gone 12-12-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Cougars have a 4-4-2 ATS mark. On the road, Houston is 2-7-1 vs. the spread this year and 1-3-1 ATS in their last five road contests.

Today’s over/under line of 130.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Houston’s games this season (132.8). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 151 points.

Houston’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 87 points against Oklahoma. They had an overall field goal percentage of 56.7% and made 9/11 free throws. LJ Cryer led the team in scoring, putting up 23 points. Additionally, J’Wan Roberts contributed 20 points for the Cougars.

So far this season, the Houston defense has been performing well, ranking 1st in the country at 57.2 points allowed per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.3 threes per game vs. UCF. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.6%.

Can UCF Pull Out the Win as Home Underdogs?

UCF will be the underdog in this contest, as they have been in 13 of their 28 games this season. So far, the Knights have gone 4-9 in these games. At home, UCF has a record of 12-6 this season, and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games at home.

In their most recent game, UCF lost to Iowa State by a score of 60-52. Over their last five games, the Knights have gone 2-3, and they are 15-13 overall this season.

As the underdog this season, UCF has an ATS record of 7-5-1. At home, the Knights have an ATS mark of 10-7-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, UCF has gone 6-3-1 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for UCF games is 14-13-1. Today’s over/under line of 130.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (138.7). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 132 points compared to their season average of 138.1 points per game.

Compared to their season average of 71.5 points per game, UCF struggled in their previous game. Against Iowa State, the Knights scored 52 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 42.6%. The top scorer for the Knights was Jaylin Sellers with 13 points, while Shemarri Allen also chipped in with 11 points.

UCF’s defense has been playing well, ranking 45th nationally, with 66.6 points allowed per game. In their previous game vs. Iowa State, the Cyclones finished with a field goal percentage of 42% and a total of 60 points vs. UCF.