At 12:00 ET, the Cougars and Knights meet at FBC Mortgage Stadium for a week 13 NCAAF game. TV coverage is provided by FS1, and the game takes place on Saturday, November 25th. The Knights are set as 13.5 point favorites at home in this Big 12 showdown. Can they pull off a home win and cover the spread?
HOUSTON COUGARS VS UCF KNIGHTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Cougars +13.5
This game will be played at FBC Mortgage Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 25th.
WHY BET THE HOUSTON COUGARS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 37-24 in favor of UCF.
- Even though we have UCF winning straight-up, we like Houston at +13.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 61.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 61 points.
Are the Cougars Ready for a Win at Orlando?
So far, the Houston Cougars are 4-7, including going 0-2 on the road and 2-4 at home.
Heading into this week’s matchup with UCF, the Cougars have been favored in one game and the underdog in seven. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 3-5.
So far this season, the average over/under line for Houston’s games has been 56.6 points. The Cougars have an over/under record of 3-5 heading into this week’s game.
Heading into their matchup vs. UCF, the Cougars’ offense is averaging 120.9 rushing yards per game, along with 4 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 102nd rank in rushing yards and 50th rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 248.5 yards per game. In terms of scoring, Houston is at 24.6 points per game, which is 68th in the NCAA.
The Houston defense, going into this week’s game, holds 136th place for points allowed, allowing 31.9 points per game. Opponents have been gaining an average of 255.5 passing yards each game against them (149th in the country). On the ground, they’re yielding 165.3 rushing yards, ranking them 112th in college football.
Does UCF Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?
With a 5-6 record, the UCF Knights take on Houston. Their road record so far is (2-4) and at home (2-2).
Against the spread, UCF has gone 4-6 this season. The Knights have been favored six times compared to four games as the underdog.
This season, UCF holds an over/under record of 5-5. On average, their games have produced a combined total of 59.5 points, with the typical over/under line set at 59.6 points.
The Knights come into their matchup vs. Houston 12th in college football at 451 rushing attempts per game. This has translated to an average of 234.2 rushing yards per game, placing them 4th nationally. Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 27.8 times each game, accumulating an average of 259.7 passing yards. In terms of scoring, they stand 27th, with 33 points per game.
Defensively, the Knights enter the game with 23 sacks and ranked 1st in QB hurries. They’ve allowed 26.5 points per game thus far this season (105th). In terms of pass defense, they’re 67th in the NCAA, giving up 209.5 passing yards per game. Against the run, UCF has allowed 196.9 rushing yards per contest thus far.