Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals Free Pick 10/26/19

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The Houston Astros are taking on the Washington Nationals in Game 4 of the World Series. The Nationals currently own a 2-1 series lead, and this matchup will be nationally televised on Fox. The game gets underway at 8:07 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros at Washington Nationals Odds

Including the regular season, the Nationals are 103-72 straight up (SU) and 101-73 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 14.9 units for moneyline bettors and 25.2 units ATS. The Astros have gone 115-61 SU this year and are 95-80 against the spread. They’ve accumulated 3.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.7 units ATS.

Washington games have an 82-82-10 over/under record in 2019. Houston has been a good under bet with a total record of 79-90-6.

Jose Urquidy is projected to start for Houston. Urquidy is 2-1 with a 3.95 ERA and 40 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Nationals will put the ball in the left hand of Patrick Corbin (14-7, 3.25 ERA, 1.18 WHIP), who has 238 punchouts and 70 walks this season. Corbin did not register a start against the Astros in 2018.

With a team slash line of .222/.297/.377, Houston has tallied 3.7 runs per game through 14 playoff outings. The Nationals are hitting .255/.329/.409 over 13 games and the team has managed 4.8 runs during the 2019 playoffs.

The Nationals bullpen has registered a postseason ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.21, while Astros relievers have a 4.23 ERA and 1.50 WHIP.

Left fielder Michael Brantley and first baseman Yuli Gurriel continue to lead Houston’s hitters. Brantley is slashing .310/.372/.490 with 23 home runs, 94 RBIs and 93 runs scored, while Gurriel (.291/.335/.522) is up to 32 homers, 114 RBIs and 87 runs scored.

Third baseman Anthony Rendon and right fielder Adam Eaton have led the Nationals’ hitters this year. Rendon is hitting .319/.411/.592 with 35 home runs, 135 RBIs and 126 runs scored, and Eaton’s line is .279/.365/.427 with 16 homers, 56 RBIs, 111 runs and 15 steals.

The Astros are coming off a 4-1 win in the prior game of this series.

Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

Houston has recorded 14 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Washington has 19 XBH over its last five.

Houston has recorded 18.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.0 over its last five.

The Astros have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 12 over their last 10.

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