Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Free Pick 07/12/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-07-12

Elvis Andrus and the Texas Rangers will play host to the Houston Astros at Globe Life Park. ATTSN Southwest will be televising the action and the game is scheduled to get underway at 8:05 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Odds

Vegas has listed Houston (-180) as the favorite over Texas (+170). The total sits at 10.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -105 or the under for -115. There’s a runline of Astros -1.5 (-125) and Rangers +1.5 (+105) for this matchup.

The Astros have gone 57-34 SU this year and are 47-43 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 3.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 0.3 units ATS. Houston’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Rangers, on the other hand, are 49-42 SU and 53-37 ATS. They’ve gained 15.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.2 units ATS. Texas has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Texas games have an over/under record of 43-46-1 so far in 2019. Astros games have gone under 47 times, gone over 40 times and pushed on three occasions.

Right-hander Gerrit Cole is getting the start for Houston. Cole is 9-5 with a 3.09 ERA and 170 strikeouts. He’s 1-2 with 29 strikeouts and a 6.61 ERA against Texas this year (three starts).

The Rangers are sending righty Jesse Chavez (3-4, 3.30 ERA) to the mound. Chavez has 59 punchouts and 17 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.20. Chavez is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA in one start against Houston this year.

As a unit, Texas’ pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.82 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.75 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 43 games against divisional foes, Rangers starters have an ERA of 4.93 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.42.

Texas’ offense has produced 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .291/.352/.478 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Elvis Andrus and Shin-soo Choo have led the charge for the Rangers’ batters this year. Andrus is hitting .302/.338/.450 with eight home runs, 46 RBIs, 49 runs and 19 stolen bases, and Choo is batting .291 with 13 homers, 36 RBIs, 57 runs and eight steals.

In the other dugout, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.92 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 10.20 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.82, along with a WHIP of 1.11 and a K-per-9 of 9.63.

Astros hitters have slashed .269/.347/.470 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Outfielder Michael Brantley and first baseman Yuli Gurriel continue to lead Houston’s offense. Brantley is slashing .323/.381/.507 with 12 home runs, 46 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Gurriel is hitting .274/.311/.476 with 14 homers, 50 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

The Astros have lost 8.3 units and are 31-32 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 30 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rangers have netted 15.8 units and are 36-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 28 of those games, compared to 33 which went under the total.

Houston Astros at Texas Rangers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

The under has cashed in just two of Texas’ last seven games.

The Astros have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

The Astros have an OPS of .817 this season and an OPS of .792 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Rangers’ OPS stands at .776 overall and .802 versus righties.

Texas has recorded 20.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.8 over its last five.

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