Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Betting Pick 07/11/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-07-11

Michael Brantley and the surging Houston Astros will travel a few hours north to face off against their divisional rival Texas Rangers at Globe Life Park. The action can be viewed across the country on ESPN and the game gets underway 8:05 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Odds

Texas (getting +100 odds) is coming into this matchup as the underdog against Houston and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 10.5 runs. The odds for playing the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. There’s a runline of Astros -1.5 (+135) and Rangers +1.5 (-155) for this matchup.

The Astros are 57-33 SU and have gone 47-43 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 3.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 0.3 units ATS. The Rangers, on the other hand, are 48-42 SU and 53-37 ATS. The team’s gained 15.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.2 units ATS.

Rangers games have a 43-46-1 over/under record so far in 2019. Houston has been a decent under bet with a total record of 40-47-3.

Framber Valdez will get the start for the visiting Astros. The southpaw Valdez is 3-4 with a 4.57 ERA and 41 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 5.06 ERA against Texas this year.

The Rangers will be sending righty Lance Lynn (11-4, 3.91 ERA) to the hill. Lynn has 123 strikeouts and 26 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.22. Lynn is 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA in one start against Houston this year.

Texas’ pitching staff has yielded 5.1 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.89, a WHIP of 1.41 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.78 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 42 games against AL West foes, Rangers starters have an ERA of 5.10 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.49.

Texas’ offense has produced 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .257/.314/.447 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Elvis Andrus and Shin-soo Choo have led the Rangers’ batters this year. Andrus is hitting .303/.339/.453 with eight home runs, 45 RBIs, 49 runs and 19 stolen bases, and Choo’s line is .288/.384/.495 with 13 homers, 36 RBIs, 56 runs and eight stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.85 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.21 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.88, along with a K-per-9 of 9.62.

Astros hitters have slashed .269/.348/.472 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Outfielder Michael Brantley and first baseman Yuli Gurriel have paced Houston’s hitters. Brantley is slashing .324/.383/.511 with 12 home runs, 46 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Gurriel (.277/.314/.482) is up to 14 homers, 50 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

The Astros have lost 8.3 units and are 31-32 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 30 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rangers have netted 0.0 units and are 17-12 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 13 that went under.

Houston Astros at Texas Rangers Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Rangers, ATS Winner – Rangers, O/U – UNDER


Betting Notes

The over has hit in five of Texas’ last seven games.

The Astros have a total OPS of .820 this season and an OPS of .796 against right-handed pitchers. The Rangers’ OPS stands at .776 overall and .804 against righties.

The Astros have won seven of their last eight games SU.

Houston has recorded 25 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 28 over its last five.

Each team has hit 12 home runs over its last 10 outings.

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