Perhaps the final game of the season for the home side will be played on Sunday, October 23, in New York, so make sure you don’t miss out on the best Astros vs. Yankees betting pick and odds.

New York is playing with its back up against the wall when they host Houston at Yankee Stadium, desperate for a win. The Yankees are -125 moneyline favorites on MyBookie Sportsbook, while the total is set at 6.5 runs. These conference rivals have met seven times before this playoff series, and the Astros won five. Houston won all three of the ALCS games so far.

Astros confident in a 5-0 win in New York

The Houston Astros are just a step away from reaching the World Series after defeating the New York Yankees in the opening three games of the ALCS. Although many people expected Game 3 to be the toughest for Houston, the Astros secured a comfortable 5-0 victory at Yankee Stadium in another low-scoring affair.

Their pitching staff allowed just one hit until the final frame when the Yanks added two more, but in the end, the visitors deserved their win. Chas McCormick blasted a two-run homer in the 2nd inning, while Christian Vasquez and Trey Mancini combined for three RBIs. Cristian Javier was excellent in his start as he allowed only a hit with five strikeouts and three walks over 5.1 innings.

Lance McCullers Jr. (4-2) will start for the Astros in Game 4 of the ALCS in New York on Sunday. The 29-year-old right-hander started eight games this season and owns a 2.27 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, and 50/22 K/BB ratio in 47.2 innings.

It’s a win-or-go-home situation for the Yankees

Well, not quite, because the New York Yankees are already at home, but if they lose this game, they will be out of the playoffs. The Yanks missed out on the opportunity to cut the deficit to 2-1 in this ALCS and now will have to win on Sunday in order to avoid a series sweep.

It’s not going to be easy after failing to score a single run in the most recent 5-0 defeat to the Houston Astros. They will have to do much better than a one-hit display over 8.0 innings. The Yankees did show some signs of life in the final frame with a pair of hits, but in the end, they took a big loss. Gerrit Cole pitched for 5.0 innings in a losing performance as he surrendered three runs on five hits with seven strikeouts and two walks.

Nestor Cortes (12-4) will serve as a season savior for the Yankees as he takes on the Astros in Game 4 of the ALCS on Sunday. The 24-year-old left-hander had 28 starts this year and carries a great 2.44 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and 163/38 K/BB ratio across 158.1 innings of work.

Trends:

Houston:

  • 3-8 in the last 11 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower

New York:

  • 13-6 in the last 19 playoff home games
  • 5-2 in the last seven when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game

Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees Pick

Both McCullers Jr. and Cortes have been very strong in the postseason so far. Although Cortes didn’t have a quality start in his one game against Houston this season (a 5.40 ERA in 5.0 innings), it’s a do-or-die situation for the Yankees here and I expect him to bring his A-game on Sunday. McCullers didn’t allow a run in his start against Seattle, in that game which lasted 18 innings, but I don’t think he will fire another scoreless start here. Even though I strongly believe the Astros will win the series as I thought so before it started, I also think the Yankees are better than a 4-0 loss in the ALCS.

Pick: Take the Yankees to win (-125)

The Total

Each of the three games of this series went Under and I don’t expect to see a high-scoring affair on Sunday. Cortes’ numbers against the Astros are not great; he allows a .315 BA to Houston’s batters and even 14 RBIs in 54 at-bats. However, given the significance of this tilt, I am pretty sure Nestor will contain the visitors. After all, he’s the best Yankees pitcher this year. Under is 7-1-1 in the last nine H2H meetings; Under is 3-0-1 in the previous four H2H duels in New York, Under is 5-0 in the Astros’ last five overall, while Under is 5-0 in the Yankees’ previous five overall.

Pick: Go Under 6.5 runs (-110)