Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers Betting Pick 05/15/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-15

The Houston Astros will be squaring off against the Detroit Tigers. This AL showdown will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to ATTSN Southwest to catch the action.

Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

The Tigers are 18-22 straight up (SU) and 19-20 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.3 units ATS. Detroit has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Astros have gone 28-15 SU this year and are 22-20 ATS. They’ve gained 3.0 units for moneyline gamblers through the early portions of the season and 0.8 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Detroit games have a 17-22 over/under record so far in 2019. Houston has an over/under record of 20-21-1.

Justin Verlander will get the start for the visiting Astros. The right-handed Verlander is 6-1 with a 2.51 ERA and 68 strikeouts. This is his first outing against Detroit this year. He made two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 1-1 record with a 4.85 ERA and 22 strikeouts.

The Tigers are putting the ball in the left hand of Gregory Soto (0-1, 15.75 ERA), who has one strikeouts and two walks this season as well as a 2.75 WHIP. Soto did not pitch in the majors last season.

Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.94 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 9.90 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.88, along with a K-per-9 of 9.49.

Astros hitters have slashed .283/.358/.514 on their way to 5.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 7.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 9.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).

Houston’s hitters have been led by outfielders George Springer and Michael Brantley, who have already combined to drive in 70 runs. Springer is hitting .329/.410/.671 with 16 home runs, 39 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Brantley has a .335 average with 10 homers, 31 RBIs and 26 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Detroit’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have a 4.42 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.50 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

The Detroit offense is putting up 3.5 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .224/.301/.436 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Tigers’ hitters have been led by Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos. Cabrera is slashing .282/.349/.342 with 42 hits, 15 RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Castellanos has put up a line of .270/.321/.447 with three homers, 12 RBIs and 24 runs.

The Astros have gained 2.0 units and are 6-5 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in four of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Tigers have netted 1.1 units and are 15-18 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 21 that went under the total.

Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – UNDER


Betting Notes

The over has cashed in four of Houston’s last seven outings.

The Astros have won 10 of their last 11 games SU while the Tigers have lost three of their last four.

Detroit has posted 17.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.4 over its last five.

The Astros have hit 28 home runs in their last 10 games, including 16 over their last five.

The Astros have an OPS of .872 this season, including an OPS of .920 against left-handed pitchers. The Tigers’ OPS stands at .674 overall and .764 against southpaws.

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