Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Betting Pick 09/24/19

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Michael Brantley and the surging Houston Astros will pay a visit to Seattle to face a divisional opponent in the Mariners at T-Mobile Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and the action will be televised on RTNW and ATSW.

Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Odds

Each squad is getting equal moneyline odds and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). There’s a runline of Astros () and Mariners () for this matchup.

The Astros have gone 102-54 SU this year and are 84-72 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much this year, gaining 3.8 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 0.8 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 66-90 SU and 78-78 ATS. The team has lost 14.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.0 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Mariners games have an over/under record of 85-60-11 in 2019. The Astros have been a decent under bet with a total record of 71-80-5.

Gerrit Cole will get the nod for the visiting Astros. The right-handed Cole (18-5, 2.61 ERA) has racked up 302 punchouts in 200.1 innings so far. He’s 3-0 with 36 strikeouts and a 1.71 ERA against Seattle this year (three starts).

The Mariners will send Justin Dunn (0-0, 6.75 ERA) to the mound. Dunn has one strikeouts and eight walks as well as a WHIP of 3.38. Dunn hasn’t faced the Astros yet this year and did not pitch in the majors in 2018.

Seattle’s pitchers have yielded 5.6 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.30, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.0. The bullpen has a 4.92 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 70 divisional games, Mariners starters have an ERA of 5.99 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.98.

The Seattle offense has produced 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .222/.283/.354 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Mariners’ hitters have been led by catcher Omar Narvaez and outfielder Mallex Smith. Narvaez is hitting .284/.358/.472 with 22 home runs, 55 RBIs and 63 runs scored, and Smith’s line is .229/.303/.339 with six homers, 37 RBIs, 69 runs and 45 steals.

For the visitors, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.69 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.48 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.82, along with a WHIP of 1.10 and a K-per-9 of 9.88.

The Astros offense has slashed .276/.357/.497 on its way to 5.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Houston’s offensive production has been led by left fielder Michael Brantley and first baseman Yuli Gurriel, who have combined to swat 51 home runs. Brantley is hitting .315/.377/.504 with 21 home runs, 86 RBIs and 87 runs scored, while Gurriel (.305/.350/.550) has produced 30 homers, 102 RBIs and 84 runs scored.

The Mariners have gained 0.0 units and are 57-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 59 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under against righties.

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – UNDER

Notes

Betting Notes

Houston has tallied 22 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Seattle has 14 XBH over its last five.

The Astros have won seven of their last eight games SU.

Seattle has recorded 24.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.0 over its last five.

The Astros have hit 25 home runs in their last 10 games, including 15 over their last five.