Home MLB Free MLB Picks Houston Astros at New York Yankees Free ALCS Pick 10/15/19

Houston Astros at New York Yankees Free ALCS Pick 10/15/19

The New York Yankees are set to host the Houston Astros in Game 3 of the American League Championship Series. The series is currently tied 1-1, and this matchup will be nationally televised on Fox Sports One. The opening pitch is scheduled for 4:08 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees Odds

Oddsmakers have listed New York (+145) as the underdog to Houston (-155). The game’s total sits at 7.5 runs and gamblers can take the over for -105 and the under for -115. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -110 for the Astros -1.5 runs and -110 for the Yankees +1.5 runs.

The Astros have gone 111-58 SU throughout the regular season and playoffs, and are 92-77 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 1.2 units ATS. Houston is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 107-60 SU and 98-69 ATS. The team’s gained 17.2 units for moneyline bettors and 28.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Yankees games have an over/under record of 87-75-5 in 2019. The Astros have been a decent under bet with a total record of 75-88-6.

Gerrit Cole will get the start for Houston. The right-handed Cole is 20-5 with a 2.50 ERA and 326 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA against New York this year.

The Yankees will turn to righty Luis Severino (1-1, 1.50 ERA), who’s got 17 strikeouts and six walks, along with a 1.00 WHIP. Severino hasn’t faced the Astros yet this year, but he made two starts against them in 2018, putting together a perfect 2-0 record with a 1.13 ERA and 21 strikeouts.

Behind a team slash line of .218/.281/.367, Houston has produced 3.1 runs per game through seven playoff outings. The Yankees are hitting .273/.363/.477 and the team has put up 6.4 runs in this year’s playoffs.

The Yankees bullpen has registered a postseason ERA of 1.88 and a WHIP of 1.13, while Astros relievers have performed noticeably worse with a 4.43 ERA and 1.72 WHIP.

Houston’s hitters have been paced by left fielder Michael Brantley and first baseman Yuli Gurriel. Brantley is hitting .307/.366/.494 with 23 home runs, 91 RBIs and 91 runs scored, while Gurriel (.295/.341/.529) has produced 31 homers, 108 RBIs and 86 runs scored.

Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres have led the Yankees’ offense this year. LeMahieu is hitting .327/.376/.519 with 27 home runs, 106 RBIs and 117 runs scored, while Torres has produced a line of .283/.340/.548 with 40 homers, 99 RBIs and 102 runs scored.

The Astros just took the previous game in the series by a score of three runs to two.

Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in four of New York’s last seven games.

Houston has posted 18.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.0 over its last five.

The Astros have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 17 over their last 10.

The Astros have an OPS of .843 this season and an OPS of .825 against right-handed pitchers. The Yankees’ OPS sits at .831 overall and .819 against righties.

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