Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds Free Pick 06/18/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-18

Michael Brantley and the Houston Astros will take the field against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. This interleague matchup will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to ATTSN Southwest to catch the game.

Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds

Houston (-180) is favored against Cincinnati (+170) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs. The odds for playing the game’s total stand at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. There’s a runline of Astros -1.5 (-125) and Reds +1.5 (+105) for this matchup.

The Reds are 38-31 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 32-38 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 6.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 2.2 units ATS. The Astros are 48-25 SU and have gone 40-32 ATS. They’ve accumulated 8.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 7.2 units ATS.

Cincinnati games have had an over/under record of 24-43-2 so far in 2019. Houston has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 32-38-2.

Right-hander Justin Verlander is the probable starter for the visiting Astros. Verlander is 9-2 with a 2.41 ERA and 125 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Reds are sending righty Anthony DeSclafani (3-3, 4.43 ERA) to the hill. DeSclafani has 64 strikeouts and 21 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.32. DeSclafani did not register a start against the Astros in 2018.

As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 3.63 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.45 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.

Cincinnati’s hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .239/.328/.472 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias have led the charge for the Reds’ hitters this year. Suarez is slashing .254/.334/.480 with 15 home runs, 43 RBIs and 34 runs scored, while Iglesias has produced a line of .289/.332/.413 with four homers, 24 RBIs and 28 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.61 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 10.28 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.55, along with a K/9 of 9.68.

Astros hitters have slashed .265/.348/.469 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Houston’s offensive production has been fueled by outfielders Michael Brantley and Josh Reddick. Brantley is slashing .309/.370/.502 with 10 home runs, 40 RBIs and 34 runs scored, while Reddick is hitting .300/.341/.444 with eight homers, 25 RBIs and 30 runs scored.

Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

Houston has logged 14 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Cincinnati has 18 XBH over its last five.

The Astros have a total OPS of .817 this season and an OPS of .793 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .710 overall and .685 versus righties.

The Houston defense has coughed up two errors over the last 10 games, compared to eight errors for Cincinnati over its last 10.

The Astros have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 10 over their last 10.

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2019 MLB Betting Guide

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Play Line: LA DODGERS -193
BTB PowerLine: LA DODGERS -203

Edge On: LA DODGERS 10Bet Now
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Play Line: MIAMI 114
BTB PowerLine: MIAMI -125

Edge On: MIAMI 39Bet Now
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Play Line: TORONTO 172
BTB PowerLine: TORONTO +184

Edge On: TORONTO 8Bet Now