Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Free Pick 05/19/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-19

J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox are squaring off against the Houston Astros at Fenway Park. ATTSN Southwest is in line to broadcast this AL matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

Houston (getting +135) is the underdog to Boston (-145) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8.5 runs. The odds for playing the game’s total sit at -115 for the under and -105 for the over. This game currently has a runline of Astros +1.5 (-160) and Red Sox -1.5 (+140).

The Red Sox are 23-22 straight up (SU) and 18-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.3 units for moneyline bettors and 9.7 units ATS. Boston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Astros, on the other hand, are 31-15 SU and have gone 25-20 ATS. They’re up 6.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 3.9 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Boston games have a 26-17-1 over/under record so far in 2019. Houston has an over/under record of 21-23-1.

Wade Miley will get the nod for the visiting Astros. The left-handed Miley (4-2, 3.51 ERA) has racked up 35 strikeouts in 51.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Red Sox are handing the ball to lefty Chris Sale (1-5, 4.24 ERA), who has 73 strikeouts and 11 walks as well as a 1.02 WHIP. Sale only made one start against the Astros in 2018 (0-1, 6.00 ERA and six strikeouts across six innings).

Boston’s pitchers have yielded 4.7 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have a 4.86 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.74 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 10.4 K/9.

The Boston hitters are putting up 5.2 runs per contest, including 5.9 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .265/.351/.453 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Red Sox batters have been led by left fielder J.D. Martinez and third baseman Rafael Devers. Martinez is hitting .315/.398/.533 with nine home runs, 28 RBIs and 28 runs scored, and Devers is batting .307 with three homers, 22 RBIs, 29 runs and five stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.80 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 9.85 K/9. The bullpen has managed an excellent ERA of just 2.72, along with a WHIP of 1.06.

Astros hitters have slashed .282/.358/.509 on their way to 5.5 runs scored per game this season, including 7.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (5-0 SU).

Outfielders Michael Brantley and George Springer have led Houston’s hitters. Brantley is slashing .331/.382/.571 with 10 home runs, 32 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Springer is hitting .318/.402/.665 with 17 homers, 42 RBIs and 41 runs scored.

The Astros have gained 4.0 units and are 8-5 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over’s hit in five of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers.

Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

The under has hit in only two of Boston’s last seven games.

The Astros have hit 24 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 17 over their last 10.

The Astros have an OPS of .867 this season, including an OPS of .927 against left-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .764 overall and .748 against lefties.

Houston has posted 29.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.6 over its last five.

The Astros have won 13 of their last 14 games SU while the Red Sox have dropped three of their last four.

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2019 MLB Betting Guide

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