Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Betting Pick 10/13/18

 
Saturday, 10/13/2018 at 08:05 pm HOUSTON (107-59) at  BOSTON (111-56)
Expanded Matchup Game Center Bet Now Starting Pitchers
Teams Line W-L O/U/P RF/RA Starters REC ERA WHIP
903HOUSTON 105 107 - 59 73-85-8 4.97/3.27 (R) VERLANDER JUSTIN 18 - 9 2.56 0.9
904BOSTON -115 111 - 56 80-79-8 5.42/4 (L) SALE CHRIS 13 - 4 2.21 0.88

Last Updated: 2018-10-13

The Houston Astros will be taking on the Boston Red Sox in Game 1 of the American League Championship Series. The first pitch of the series will be thrown at 8:09 p.m. ET and this opening game will be televised on TBS.

Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Boston (-115) as the favorite over Houston (+105). The total is sitting at 7.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 or the under for an even +100. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Astros +1.5 runs (-200) and Red Sox -1.5 runs (+170).

Including the regular season, the Astros have gone 106-59 SU this year and are 86-79 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle very much this year, gaining 0.5 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 1.6 units ATS. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 111-55 SU and 96-70 ATS. They’ve gained 34.4 units for moneyline bettors and 23.2 units ATS.

Red Sox games have an over/under record of 79-79-8 in 2018. Astros games have gone under 85 times, gone over 72 times and pushed on eight instances.

Justin Verlander is getting the nod for Houston. The right-handed Verlander is 16-9 with a 2.52 ERA and 290 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Boston this year.

The Red Sox are sending lefty Chris Sale (12-4, 2.11 ERA) to the mound. Sale has 237 strikeouts and 34 walks to his credit, as well as a 0.86 WHIP. Sale is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA in one start against Houston this year.

Behind a team slash line of .327/.421/.615, Houston has produced 7.0 runs per game through three postseason games. The Red Sox are hitting .279/.365/.429 and the team has put up 6.8 runs during the 2018 playoffs.

The Red Sox bullpen has registered an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.29 this postseason, while Astros relievers have fared significantly better with a 0.93 ERA and 0.72 WHIP.

Houston’s offense has been sparked by third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve. Bregman is slashing .290/.401/.544 with 33 home runs, 107 RBIs and 110 runs scored, while Altuve (.316/.384/.454) is up to 14 homers, 63 RBIs, 88 runs and 17 stolen bases.

The Red Sox batters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts. Martinez is slashing .331/.403/.628 with 44 home runs, 136 RBIs and 112 runs scored, and Betts has put up a line of .341/.434/.629 with 32 homers, 82 RBIs, 132 runs and 30 stolen bases.

The Astros have lost 7.1 units and are 29-31 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 27 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 32.2 units and are 76-51 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 61 of those games, compared to 60 that went under the total.

Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in five of Houston’s last seven games.

The Astros have won six of their last seven games SU while the Red Sox have taken four of their last five.

Houston has posted 20.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.8 over its last five.

The Astros have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.

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