Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Betting Pick 05/17/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-17

George Springer and the surging Houston Astros are paying a visit to Boston to take on the Red Sox at Fenway Park. ATTSN Southwest will be televising this AL matchup and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Boston (+115) as the underdog to Houston (-125). The total sits at 9.5 runs and bettors can take the over for +100 and the under for -120. This game currently has a runline of Astros -1.5 (+120) and Red Sox +1.5 (-140).

The Red Sox are 23-20 straight up (SU) and 18-25 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 10.3 units for moneyline bettors and 8.4 units ATS. On the other hand, the Astros are 29-15 SU and have gone 24-20 against the spread. They’re up 5.0 units for moneyline bettors through the early portions of the season and 2.8 units ATS.

Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 26-16-1 so far in 2019. Houston has an over/under record of 21-22-1.

Gerrit Cole is getting the start for Houston. The right-handed Cole (4-4, 3.88 ERA) has racked up 86 strikeouts in 55.2 innings so far. This will be his first outing against Boston this year. He made two starts against the Red Sox in 2018, putting together a 1-0 record against them with a 3.46 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

The Red Sox will turn to righty Rick Porcello (3-3, 5.15 ERA), who has 40 strikeouts and 18 walks as well as a 1.47 WHIP. Porcello made two starts against the Astros in 2018, compiling a 1-0 record with a 4.50 ERA and 11 strikeouts.

Boston’s pitching staff has yielded 4.7 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.74, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.8. The bullpen has a 3.88 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.7 K/9.

Boston’s offense has produced 5.3 runs per contest, including 7.9 per game over its last 10 games and 8.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .314/.411/.559 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Red Sox offense has been led by left fielder J.D. Martinez and third baseman Rafael Devers. Martinez is slashing .321/.399/.541 with nine home runs, 28 RBIs and 27 runs scored, and the line for Devers stands at .323/.397/.456 with three homers, 22 RBIs, 29 runs and five stolen bases.

For the visitors, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.87 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 9.95 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.84, along with a WHIP of 1.04.

Astros hitters have slashed .282/.358/.512 on their way to 5.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 7.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 10.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).

Houston’s offense has been powered by outfielders George Springer and Michael Brantley, who have combined to belt 26 home runs. Springer is slashing .320/.400/.651 with 16 home runs, 40 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Brantley (.329/.379/.575) has produced 10 homers, 31 RBIs and 26 runs scored.

The Astros have gained 1.0 units and are 16-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, as opposed to 14 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 1.7 units and are 15-16 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 18 of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under.

Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

The under has cashed in three of Houston’s last seven games.

The Astros have an OPS of .870 this season and an OPS of .847 against right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .770 overall and .772 against righties.

The Astros have won 11 of their last 12 games SU while the Red Sox have won six of their last seven.

Boston has posted 29.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 32.4 over its last five.

The Astros have hit 26 home runs in their last 10 games, including 14 over their last five.

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2019 MLB Betting Guide

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BTB PowerLine: TORONTO +144

Edge On: TORONTO 61Bet Now
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