Looking to win big? The Rainbow Warriors and Aggies face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The Aggies are hosting the game at University Credit Union Center in Davis, CA. This Big West conference matchup has an over/under of 139.5 points, and UC Davis is favored to win by -2 at home vs. Hawaii.


The Pick: UC Davis Aggies -2

This game will be played at University Credit Union Center at 9:00 ET on Thursday, February 29th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Aggies.
  • Not only will UC Davis pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 139.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Do the Rainbow Warriors Have What it Takes in Davis?

Heading into their matchup with UC Davis, Hawaii is 16-12 overall and 7-9 in Big West games. On the road this season, the Rainbow Warriors are 5-7, and they are coming off a 73-65 win over Long Beach State. On the year, they have been the underdog in 10 games, going 1-9.

For the season, Hawaii has an average scoring differential of -1.2 points per game on the road. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 4-6, and their record as the underdog is 1-9.

As the underdog, Hawaii has struggled vs. the spread this season, going just 1-9. Their overall ATS mark is 10-16. On the road, the Rainbow Warriors are 5-7 vs. the spread this year and 4-6 in their last 10 road games.

On the season, the over/under record for Hawaii is 14-11-1 and today’s over/under line of 139.5 is in line with the average over/under line in their games (138.4). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 138 points.

The Rainbow Warriors’ offense finished with 73 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 72.6 points per contest. The team’s scoring leader is Noel Coleman, who holds an average of 13.3 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Justin McKoy is averaging 12 points per game this season.

At this time, the Rainbow Warriors’ defense is positioned 81st in the country, permitting 68.1 points per game. In their previous game vs. Long Beach State, the Beach finished with a field goal percentage of 42% and a total of 65 points vs. Hawaii.

Can the Aggies Grab a Win at Home?

UC Davis comes into this game as a two-point favorite, and they have been favored in 17 of their 28 games this season. They have gone 10-7 in those games, and they are 16-12 overall.

At home, the Aggies are 8-6 this season, and they have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games at home. However, they have lost their last two games at home, and their average scoring margin at home this season is +2.4 points per game.

UC Davis has an ATS record of 12-14 this season, including a mark of 6-8 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aggies have gone just 3-7 vs. the spread. In their last three home games, UC Davis is just 1-2 ATS.

UC Davis’ over/under record for the season is 10-16 and their games have averaged 138.8 points. So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 139.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 130 points and their over/under record during that span is 0-3.

In their most recent game, the UC Davis offense concluded with only 56 points against Bakersfield. Throughout the game, they made 5/20 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 34.8%. Ty Johnson led the team in scoring, putting up 22 points. Additionally, Elijah Pepper contributed 9 points for the Aggies.

So far, the Aggies’ defense is ranked 75th in the country at 68.0 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, UC Davis’ defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.5% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.5% this season.