Looking to win big? The Rainbow Warriors and Mustangs face off at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The Mustangs are hosting the game at Mott Athletics Center in San Luis Obispo, CA. Hawaii is favored by -8.5 in this Big West conference contest against Cal Poly. The game’s over/under currently sits at 131 points.

HAWAII RAINBOW WARRIORS VS CAL POLY MUSTANGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs +8.5

This game will be played at Mott Athletics Center at 10:00 ET on Thursday, February 15th.

WHY BET THE CAL POLY MUSTANGS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Mustangs.
  • Not only will Cal Poly pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 131 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Will Hawaii Live Up to Expectations on the Road?

After their 87-70 win over UC Davis, Hawaii is 14-11 overall and 5-8 in the Big West. On the road, the Rainbow Warriors’ record is 4-6, and they have lost two straight.

For the season, Hawaii has been favored in 14 games, going 10-4. Their average scoring margin on the road is -3.8 points per game, and over their last 10 road games, they are 4-6.

As the favorite, Hawaii has gone 7-7 vs. the spread this season and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games as the favorite. On the road, the Rainbow Warriors have gone 4-6 vs. the spread this season and they have gone 1-2 in their last 3 road games vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record in Hawaii games is 12-10-1, and the average scoring total in their games is 141 points. Today’s over/under line of 131 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (138.2). In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0, and the average scoring total in those games is 166 points.

In their latest game, Hawaii’s offense looked good, scoring 87 points against UC Davis. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 53.1% and made 23/27 free throws. The top scorer for the Rainbow Warriors was Bernardo Da Silva with 19 points, while Noel Coleman also added 18 to the scoreboard.

At present, the Rainbow Warriors’ defense is nationally ranked 89th, allowing 68.6 points per game. So far, the Hawaii defense is giving up an average of 6.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.5 times per game (536th).

Will the Mustangs Win at Home?

Cal Poly enters this game against Hawaii as 8.5-point underdogs. The Mustangs have struggled all season long, as they have a 4-21 record, including a 0-13 mark in Big West play. They have lost 13 straight games, and their average scoring margin at home is -6.7 points per game.

Cal Poly’s record as an underdog this season is 3-21, and they have been the underdog in all but one of their 25 games. In their last game, they fell to Long Beach State by a score of 77-68. Over their last 10 home games, the Mustangs have gone 2-8.

Cal Poly has an ATS record of 11-13 this season, including a mark of 5-5 at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Mustangs are 4-6 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 131 is lower than the average over/under line in Cal Poly games this season (134.7). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 132 points.

Cal Poly is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 68 points vs. Long Beach State. This figure is more than their season average of 62.9 points per game. Leading the team in scoring was Jarred Hyder with 21 points. Quentin Jones also added 19 points for the Mustangs.

Coming into today’s game, the Cal Poly defense is giving up an average of 72.6 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.4 threes per game vs. Hawaii. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.9%.