Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Phoenix and Norse. The game is starting at 6:30 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Norse at Truist Arena in Highland Heights, KY. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this Horizon League conference contest is set at 138 points, with the Norse being the favored team playing at home against the Phoenix.

GREEN BAY PHOENIX VS NORTHERN KENTUCKY NORSE BETTING PICK

The Pick: Northern Kentucky Norse -5.5

This game will be played at Truist Arena at 6:30 ET on Saturday, January 20th.

WHY BET THE NORTHERN KENTUCKY NORSE:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Norse.
  • Not only will Northern Kentucky pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Taking a Look at the Phoenix Chances on the Road

Green Bay heads into this game as a 5.5-point underdog. They come in with a record of 12-8, including a 7-2 mark in Horizon League play. Over their last 10 games, they have gone 5-5 on the road.

In their last game, the Phoenix took down Wright State by a score of 88-81. So far this season, they have gone 5-7 on the road. As the underdog, they have gone 7-7.

As the underdog, Green Bay has been very successful vs. the spread this season, going 10-4. They have also been solid on the road vs. the spread, posting an 8-4 mark. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Phoenix have gone 8-2 vs. the spread.

Green Bay’s over/under record this season sits at 9-9 and the average scoring total in their games is 136.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 138 is higher than the average OU line in their games (135.2). So far, 12 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 148 points.

Green Bay’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Wright State, finishing the game with a total of 88 points. Their season average is now 68.5 points per game. The Green Bay offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 25.3 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 36% of their looks from outside this season.

Green Bay’s defense has been playing well, ranking 66th nationally, with 66.8 points allowed per game. Green Bay’s three-point defense is currently 41st in the country at 5.6 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 38.9% of their shots vs. Green Bay.

Can the Norse Offense Score Enough at Home?

When playing at home this season, Northern Kentucky has been dominant, going 5-1 with an average scoring margin of +10.2 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, the Norse have gone 9-1.

So far this season, Northern Kentucky has been favored in seven of their 19 games, going 7-0 in those matchups. Overall, the Norse are 10-9 this season and have won two straight games.

As the favorite, Northern Kentucky has been solid vs. the spread this season, going 5-2. At home, the Norse are 5-1 vs. the spread this year and have gone 7-1 in their last 10 games as the favorite. Their overall ATS mark for the season is 10-7.

On the season, the over/under record for Northern Kentucky games is 11-6 and the average scoring total in their games is 146.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 138 is lower than the average OU line in their games this season (141.1). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 150 points.

In their latest game, Northern Kentucky offense put up 90 points against Milwaukee. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 53.4% and made 8 threes. In terms of offense, the Norse have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, putting them 119th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 305th in percentage and 322nd in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Norse’s defense is positioned 177th in the country, permitting 72.5 points per game. The Northern Kentucky defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 72 points and allowed Milwaukee to connect on 8 threes.