The Sunday action of Week 8 in the NFL will end with this inter-conference tilt in Buffalo on October 30, and here you can check out the best Packers vs. Bills betting pick and odds.
Green Bay is desperate to snap a three-game losing skid when they face Buffalo at Highmark Stadium. The Bills are slight 11-point favorites on Bovada Sportsbook, while the total is set at 47.5 points. These inter-conference rivals will meet for the first time since 2018.
Packers lost three in a row
After a bright start to the season and three wins out of the opening four games, the Green Bay Packers (3-4-0, 2-5-0 ATS) suffered three consecutive losses, despite being a favorite in each game. Green Bay lost to the Giants, Jets, and Commanders, and it seems that the Packers will lose the fourth game in a row when they meet the Bills on Sunday. The Packers didn’t deserve to beat Washington last week as they weren’t better in any segment, and the Commanders got a tight 23-21 win in the end.
Aaron Rodgers completed 23 of 35 passes for 194 yards and two touchdowns. Running back Aaron Jones turned out to be Rodgers’ favorite target in this game; Jones caught nine passes for 53 yards and two touchdowns. Allen Lazard had 55 yards on six receptions, while the Packers abandoned the run offense as it didn’t work. Green Bay had a lot of work on defense and even four players with 10+ tackles: Quay Walker (13), De’Vondre Campbell (12), Rasul Douglas (10), and Adrian Amos (10).
WR Randall Cobb is on the injured reserve list due to a right ankle sprain, and it is uncertain when he will return to the fold. T David Bakhtiari (knee), WR Allen Lazard (shoulder), and LB Rashan Gary (concussion) are questionable to face the Bills on Sunday.
Bills got a statement win in Kansas City
The Buffalo Bills (5-1-0, 4-1-1 ATS) bounced back from an unexpected road loss to the Miami Dolphins with three consecutive wins, including the most recent one over the Kansas City Chiefs on the road. The Bills got their revenge for the last year’s playoff defeat in KC with a 24-20 victory, even though they were down late in the game. Buffalo was a better side in this one and deserved to win.
Josh Allen completed 27 of 40 passes for 329 yards and three touchdowns. Stefon Diggs displayed another monstrous performance as he led all the receivers with 148 yards and a touchdown on ten receptions. Gabe Davis and Dawson Knox also found the end zone, and the latter scored a game-winning TD with just over a minute to go. On the ground, Devin Singletary had 85 yards on 17 carries. Von Miller got two of the Bills’ three sacks, while Tremaine Edmunds led the team with ten tackles.
S Micah Hyde (neck) is out indefinitely, while T Spencer Brown (ankle) is questionable to play on Sunday against Green Bay.
- 0-4 ATS in the last four games overall
- 1-5 ATS in the last six road games
- 1-5 ATS in the last six games following an ATS loss
- 8-2-2 ATS in the last 12 games overall
- 5-0-1 ATS in the last six home games
Green Bay Packers vs. Buffalo Bills Pick
The Packers are a mess right now and it seems that they will not reach the playoffs for the first time since 2018, while the Bills, on the other hand, are looking like a championship team. Buffalo is coming off a bye week and will be fresh and ready to take on Aaron Odgers and his struggling offense. Speaking of which, Green Bay’s offense averages just 18.3 ppg, and given they are facing the best defense in the NFL that allows only 13.5 ppg, it’s going to be a long night for A-Rod. The Bills also have the second-best offense in the league and are the best in passing yards per game (323.0), so I don’t think the Packers have the slightest chance in this one.
Pick: Take the Bills at -10.5 (-110)
Given the Packers allowed 23+ points in the last four games to the Patriots, Giants, Jets, and Commanders, I can only imagine what Josh Allen and the Bills are going to do to them on Sunday. Buffalo is averaging 29.3 ppg, and I wouldn’t be surprised if they score 30+ against Green Bay here. Despite the great respect I have for Aaron Rodgers, I think his team will be smashed, and garbage time is also an option. When there is garbage time, we usually have a lot of points. Over is 8-2 in the Bills’ last ten games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game, while Over is 7-1-1 in the Packers’ previous nine games on turf.
Pick: Go Over 47.5 points (-110)